← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Fordham University4.26+5.87vs Predicted
-
2St. Mary's College of Maryland4.03+5.81vs Predicted
-
3Tufts University4.08+4.81vs Predicted
-
4College of Charleston3.65+5.50vs Predicted
-
5Eckerd College2.89+7.94vs Predicted
-
6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.49+4.42vs Predicted
-
7Cornell University2.77+6.87vs Predicted
-
8Stanford University4.19-0.98vs Predicted
-
9Brown University3.69+0.21vs Predicted
-
10Georgetown University4.36-3.59vs Predicted
-
11University of South Florida3.15+0.97vs Predicted
-
12Harvard University3.79-2.79vs Predicted
-
13Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-1.99vs Predicted
-
14University of Virginia3.01-1.50vs Predicted
-
15University of Wisconsin3.04-2.71vs Predicted
-
16Washington College2.84-2.80vs Predicted
-
17Old Dominion University3.70-7.85vs Predicted
-
183.24-6.44vs Predicted
-
19University of Michigan2.97-6.39vs Predicted
-
20University of Vermont2.55-5.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.87Fordham University4.260.1%1st Place
-
7.81St. Mary's College of Maryland4.030.1%1st Place
-
7.81Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
-
9.5College of Charleston3.650.1%1st Place
-
12.94Eckerd College2.890.0%1st Place
-
10.42St. Mary's College of Maryland3.490.0%1st Place
-
13.87Cornell University2.770.0%1st Place
-
7.02Stanford University4.190.1%1st Place
-
9.21Brown University3.690.1%1st Place
-
6.41Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
-
11.97University of South Florida3.150.0%1st Place
-
9.21Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
-
11.01Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.0%1st Place
-
12.5University of Virginia3.010.0%1st Place
-
12.29University of Wisconsin3.040.0%1st Place
-
13.2Washington College2.840.0%1st Place
-
9.15Old Dominion University3.700.1%1st Place
-
11.563.240.0%1st Place
-
12.61University of Michigan2.970.0%1st Place
-
14.62University of Vermont2.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olin Paine | 9.7% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Fletcher Sims | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| William Haeger | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Jake Reynolds | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| Tony Collins | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 8.3% |
| Markus Edegran | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.7% |
| Duncan Howes | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 12.4% | 13.4% |
| Kieran Chung | 8.4% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Judge Ryan | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Nevin Snow | 10.9% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Mohney | 4.0% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| David Alfonso | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.8% |
| Christopher Stessing | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.3% |
| Connor Trepton | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 7.3% |
| Ryan Bailey | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 12.6% |
| Brady Stagg | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.4% |
| Eddie Cox | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 4.3% |
| Alex Ramos | 3.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.7% |
| Steven Pelissier | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 12.1% | 20.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.