Race 2A

maisa-spring-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Piper Holthus 21.1% 17.8% 15.7% 13.6% 9.8% 7.6% 5.3% 4.7% 2.3% 1.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Amanda Majernik 9.6% 8.8% 9.2% 9.3% 8.6% 10.4% 9.4% 9.0% 9.7% 7.0% 5.2% 2.2% 1.3% 0.2%
Olivia de Olazarra 11.2% 11.7% 10.2% 10.8% 10.3% 9.6% 10.2% 8.9% 7.4% 4.3% 2.8% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
Brooke Shachoy 12.8% 13.5% 13.5% 11.3% 11.3% 9.6% 9.2% 6.9% 6.3% 3.4% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Clara Guarascio 2.5% 3.1% 2.4% 3.0% 4.5% 4.0% 6.2% 6.4% 7.8% 12.3% 12.4% 14.9% 13.9% 6.7%
Emma AuBuchon 8.8% 7.9% 8.9% 8.6% 9.9% 10.4% 10.7% 8.9% 8.7% 7.1% 4.5% 3.9% 1.2% 0.4%
Katherine Bennett 9.0% 10.2% 9.4% 10.4% 9.8% 10.2% 10.1% 9.2% 8.3% 6.3% 4.2% 2.1% 0.5% 0.2%
Bridget Groble 7.0% 8.4% 8.5% 8.7% 8.9% 9.7% 9.3% 10.1% 9.2% 8.7% 6.7% 3.2% 1.1% 0.4%
Camille McGriff 6.5% 6.9% 8.1% 9.2% 9.3% 8.8% 10.2% 10.5% 9.8% 8.7% 6.8% 3.3% 1.7% 0.4%
Payton Canavan 5.2% 5.0% 5.9% 6.8% 6.8% 8.2% 6.6% 9.6% 9.4% 12.6% 11.3% 8.2% 3.5% 1.1%
Hannah Mercurio 1.1% 0.7% 1.9% 1.6% 2.0% 2.3% 3.2% 3.8% 3.4% 5.3% 10.6% 14.3% 22.9% 26.9%
Kennedy Jones 2.6% 3.9% 3.2% 3.9% 4.7% 5.2% 5.2% 6.2% 9.0% 10.2% 15.3% 13.8% 11.0% 5.7%
Maren Behnke 1.5% 1.2% 1.8% 1.5% 2.1% 2.2% 2.4% 3.4% 4.5% 6.8% 9.2% 15.6% 20.7% 27.3%
Bracklinn Williams 1.1% 1.0% 1.4% 1.1% 1.9% 1.9% 2.0% 2.5% 4.2% 5.7% 8.7% 16.0% 21.5% 30.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.