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📊 Prediction Accuracy
5.0%
Within 2 Positions
5.3
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University4.08+6.63vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College2.89+11.10vs Predicted
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33.24+8.57vs Predicted
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4Stanford University4.19+3.14vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin3.04+7.36vs Predicted
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6Cornell University2.77+7.67vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.65+2.90vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+2.40vs Predicted
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9University of Michigan2.97+3.68vs Predicted
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10Fordham University4.26-3.17vs Predicted
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11Harvard University3.79-2.01vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University4.36-5.31vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland4.03-4.82vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida3.15-2.18vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont2.55-0.62vs Predicted
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16Washington College2.84-2.78vs Predicted
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17University of Virginia3.01-4.65vs Predicted
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18Brown University3.69-8.59vs Predicted
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19St. Mary's College of Maryland3.49-8.80vs Predicted
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20Old Dominion University3.70-10.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.63Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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13.1Eckerd College2.890.0%1st Place
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11.573.240.0%1st Place
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7.14Stanford University4.190.1%1st Place
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12.36University of Wisconsin3.040.0%1st Place
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13.67Cornell University2.770.0%1st Place
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9.9College of Charleston3.650.0%1st Place
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10.4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.0%1st Place
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12.68University of Michigan2.970.0%1st Place
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6.83Fordham University4.260.1%1st Place
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8.99Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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6.69Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
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8.18St. Mary's College of Maryland4.030.1%1st Place
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11.82University of South Florida3.150.0%1st Place
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14.38University of Vermont2.550.0%1st Place
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13.22Washington College2.840.0%1st Place
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12.35University of Virginia3.010.0%1st Place
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9.41Brown University3.690.1%1st Place
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10.2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.490.1%1st Place
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9.48Old Dominion University3.700.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Haeger | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Tony Collins | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 10.3% |
| Eddie Cox | 4.5% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% |
| Kieran Chung | 9.3% | 10.4% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% |
| Connor Trepton | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 5.9% |
| Duncan Howes | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 11.8% | 12.6% |
| Jake Reynolds | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 1.3% |
| David Alfonso | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 2.0% |
| Alex Ramos | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 8.5% |
| Olin Paine | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Nevin Snow | 11.0% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Fletcher Sims | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Benjamin Mohney | 2.6% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.0% |
| Steven Pelissier | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 12.4% | 21.6% |
| Ryan Bailey | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 12.2% |
| Christopher Stessing | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.0% |
| Judge Ryan | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.3% |
| Markus Edegran | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.2% |
| Brady Stagg | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.