Race 3A

maisa-spring-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Emma AuBuchon 9.1% 8.8% 9.0% 9.3% 11.2% 9.8% 10.0% 9.2% 7.4% 7.8% 4.5% 2.8% 0.9% 0.2%
Brooke Shachoy 13.7% 12.8% 12.5% 10.8% 11.1% 10.2% 8.4% 7.9% 6.2% 3.9% 2.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Katherine Bennett 8.6% 9.7% 10.5% 10.0% 10.4% 10.0% 10.0% 8.8% 9.2% 6.2% 4.5% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
Bridget Groble 8.4% 7.9% 7.0% 8.1% 10.3% 9.3% 10.0% 9.7% 9.2% 8.2% 6.5% 4.0% 1.2% 0.2%
Piper Holthus 21.7% 18.2% 15.6% 13.2% 8.9% 8.8% 5.5% 4.2% 2.4% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Camille McGriff 7.8% 7.3% 7.6% 9.3% 7.3% 9.8% 8.6% 10.9% 10.1% 9.2% 6.6% 3.5% 1.7% 0.3%
Amanda Majernik 8.3% 9.2% 9.4% 9.2% 9.8% 9.3% 10.7% 9.2% 9.2% 6.7% 5.6% 2.1% 0.9% 0.2%
Payton Canavan 4.0% 5.0% 6.3% 6.8% 7.1% 7.3% 8.2% 9.8% 11.6% 10.9% 10.3% 7.8% 3.5% 1.2%
Hannah Mercurio 0.9% 1.3% 1.1% 1.9% 2.1% 2.4% 2.8% 3.0% 3.8% 6.4% 9.7% 15.3% 21.3% 28.1%
Kennedy Jones 2.5% 2.8% 3.3% 3.5% 3.9% 4.9% 5.9% 6.2% 7.8% 11.2% 14.9% 15.6% 11.9% 5.7%
Olivia de Olazarra 10.9% 11.8% 10.4% 11.1% 11.1% 9.9% 8.6% 7.6% 7.3% 5.3% 3.5% 1.7% 0.7% 0.0%
Clara Guarascio 1.8% 3.1% 3.8% 3.3% 3.4% 4.2% 5.3% 6.9% 7.2% 10.2% 14.1% 15.6% 14.1% 6.9%
Maren Behnke 1.3% 1.2% 1.6% 2.0% 2.1% 1.8% 3.4% 3.7% 4.8% 7.7% 9.4% 14.9% 20.6% 25.4%
Bracklinn Williams 0.9% 0.9% 1.8% 1.6% 1.2% 2.1% 2.7% 2.9% 3.9% 5.2% 7.7% 14.9% 22.5% 31.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.