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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University4.08+6.63vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University4.36+4.47vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University3.70+6.48vs Predicted
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4University of Virginia3.01+8.53vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.79+3.88vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland4.03+1.87vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan2.97+6.05vs Predicted
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8Fordham University4.26-1.27vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston3.65+0.39vs Predicted
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10Stanford University4.19-2.84vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-0.34vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida3.15+0.10vs Predicted
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13Cornell University2.77+0.90vs Predicted
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143.24-2.58vs Predicted
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15Washington College2.84-1.78vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin3.04-3.65vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College2.89-4.13vs Predicted
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18Brown University3.69-8.53vs Predicted
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19University of Vermont2.55-4.60vs Predicted
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20St. Mary's College of Maryland3.49-9.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.63Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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6.47Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
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9.48Old Dominion University3.700.1%1st Place
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12.53University of Virginia3.010.0%1st Place
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8.88Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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7.87St. Mary's College of Maryland4.030.1%1st Place
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13.05University of Michigan2.970.0%1st Place
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6.73Fordham University4.260.1%1st Place
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9.39College of Charleston3.650.0%1st Place
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7.16Stanford University4.190.1%1st Place
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10.66Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.0%1st Place
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12.1University of South Florida3.150.0%1st Place
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13.9Cornell University2.770.0%1st Place
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11.423.240.0%1st Place
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13.22Washington College2.840.0%1st Place
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12.35University of Wisconsin3.040.0%1st Place
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12.87Eckerd College2.890.0%1st Place
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9.47Brown University3.690.1%1st Place
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14.4University of Vermont2.550.0%1st Place
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10.42St. Mary's College of Maryland3.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Haeger | 8.0% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% |
| Nevin Snow | 11.1% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brady Stagg | 6.4% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Christopher Stessing | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.7% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Fletcher Sims | 6.5% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Alex Ramos | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 9.1% |
| Olin Paine | 9.9% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Jake Reynolds | 4.3% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.3% |
| Kieran Chung | 8.6% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| David Alfonso | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.3% |
| Benjamin Mohney | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% |
| Duncan Howes | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 12.7% | 13.3% |
| Eddie Cox | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.1% |
| Ryan Bailey | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 12.0% |
| Connor Trepton | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.0% |
| Tony Collins | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 9.8% |
| Judge Ryan | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Steven Pelissier | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 13.3% | 18.0% |
| Markus Edegran | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.