← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
5.1
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+9.58vs Predicted
-
2University of Virginia3.01+10.56vs Predicted
-
3University of Wisconsin3.04+9.46vs Predicted
-
4Harvard University3.79+4.96vs Predicted
-
5Brown University3.69+4.31vs Predicted
-
6College of Charleston3.65+3.60vs Predicted
-
7Georgetown University4.36-0.32vs Predicted
-
8Tufts University4.08-0.59vs Predicted
-
9Eckerd College2.89+4.02vs Predicted
-
10University of Michigan2.97+2.72vs Predicted
-
11Old Dominion University3.70-1.60vs Predicted
-
12Washington College2.84+1.46vs Predicted
-
13St. Mary's College of Maryland4.03-4.83vs Predicted
-
14University of South Florida3.15-2.17vs Predicted
-
153.24-3.55vs Predicted
-
16Fordham University4.26-9.13vs Predicted
-
17St. Mary's College of Maryland3.49-6.88vs Predicted
-
18Stanford University4.19-10.75vs Predicted
-
19University of Vermont2.55-4.58vs Predicted
-
20Cornell University2.77-6.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
10.58Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.0%1st Place
-
12.56University of Virginia3.010.0%1st Place
-
12.46University of Wisconsin3.040.0%1st Place
-
8.96Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
-
9.31Brown University3.690.1%1st Place
-
9.6College of Charleston3.650.1%1st Place
-
6.68Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
-
7.41Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
-
13.02Eckerd College2.890.0%1st Place
-
12.72University of Michigan2.970.0%1st Place
-
9.4Old Dominion University3.700.1%1st Place
-
13.46Washington College2.840.0%1st Place
-
8.17St. Mary's College of Maryland4.030.1%1st Place
-
11.83University of South Florida3.150.0%1st Place
-
11.453.240.0%1st Place
-
6.87Fordham University4.260.1%1st Place
-
10.12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.490.0%1st Place
-
7.25Stanford University4.190.1%1st Place
-
14.42University of Vermont2.550.0%1st Place
-
13.74Cornell University2.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Alfonso | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.2% |
| Christopher Stessing | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.9% |
| Connor Trepton | 3.4% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 7.4% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Judge Ryan | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Jake Reynolds | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 1.6% |
| Nevin Snow | 8.8% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| William Haeger | 9.2% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Tony Collins | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 9.9% |
| Alex Ramos | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.9% |
| Brady Stagg | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.5% |
| Ryan Bailey | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 11.3% | 11.9% |
| Fletcher Sims | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Benjamin Mohney | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% |
| Eddie Cox | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.5% |
| Olin Paine | 9.9% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Markus Edegran | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.4% |
| Kieran Chung | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Steven Pelissier | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 12.5% | 19.0% |
| Duncan Howes | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 14.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.