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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland4.03+6.82vs Predicted
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2Tufts University4.08+5.63vs Predicted
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33.24+8.54vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.69+5.39vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.49+5.24vs Predicted
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6Stanford University4.19+1.29vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University4.36-0.30vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston3.65+1.35vs Predicted
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9Harvard University3.79-0.20vs Predicted
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10University of Virginia3.01+2.53vs Predicted
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11University of Michigan2.97+1.79vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.55+2.70vs Predicted
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13Cornell University2.77+0.88vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-3.47vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin3.04-2.66vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College2.89-3.01vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University3.70-7.77vs Predicted
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18Washington College2.84-4.62vs Predicted
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19University of South Florida3.15-7.17vs Predicted
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20Fordham University4.26-12.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.82St. Mary's College of Maryland4.030.1%1st Place
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7.63Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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11.543.240.0%1st Place
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9.39Brown University3.690.1%1st Place
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10.24St. Mary's College of Maryland3.490.0%1st Place
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7.29Stanford University4.190.1%1st Place
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6.7Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
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9.35College of Charleston3.650.1%1st Place
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8.8Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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12.53University of Virginia3.010.0%1st Place
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12.79University of Michigan2.970.0%1st Place
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14.7University of Vermont2.550.0%1st Place
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13.88Cornell University2.770.0%1st Place
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10.53Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.0%1st Place
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12.34University of Wisconsin3.040.0%1st Place
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12.99Eckerd College2.890.0%1st Place
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9.23Old Dominion University3.700.1%1st Place
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13.38Washington College2.840.0%1st Place
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11.83University of South Florida3.150.0%1st Place
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7.02Fordham University4.260.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fletcher Sims | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| William Haeger | 9.4% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Eddie Cox | 4.1% | 2.3% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% |
| Judge Ryan | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.4% |
| Markus Edegran | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 1.8% |
| Kieran Chung | 8.4% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Nevin Snow | 9.0% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jake Reynolds | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Christopher Stessing | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.1% |
| Alex Ramos | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.7% |
| Steven Pelissier | 1.6% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 22.2% |
| Duncan Howes | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 14.8% |
| David Alfonso | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.7% |
| Connor Trepton | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 6.8% |
| Tony Collins | 3.3% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 9.8% |
| Brady Stagg | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Ryan Bailey | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 11.5% |
| Benjamin Mohney | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% |
| Olin Paine | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.