Race 7A

maisa-spring-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Emma AuBuchon 8.7% 9.3% 8.3% 8.6% 9.2% 10.2% 10.4% 9.3% 9.2% 8.8% 4.4% 2.3% 1.0% 0.1%
Olivia de Olazarra 10.3% 10.4% 11.3% 11.7% 10.8% 9.0% 9.2% 9.0% 7.8% 5.5% 2.9% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1%
Piper Holthus 21.1% 18.4% 15.0% 12.9% 9.4% 8.7% 5.5% 4.6% 2.5% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Torrey Chisari 8.9% 10.7% 10.0% 10.0% 10.3% 11.6% 10.4% 9.2% 6.8% 5.5% 4.3% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
Clara Guarascio 2.5% 2.6% 2.2% 3.4% 4.3% 4.8% 5.5% 6.7% 7.7% 9.8% 13.3% 15.4% 15.7% 6.1%
Ella Withington 6.9% 6.7% 8.2% 7.8% 8.9% 8.0% 10.2% 9.0% 10.4% 8.8% 7.4% 4.7% 2.5% 0.6%
Brooke Shachoy 14.3% 12.4% 14.1% 12.6% 9.6% 10.0% 8.0% 7.0% 5.9% 3.5% 1.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Bridget Groble 7.3% 8.2% 8.3% 9.0% 8.9% 10.0% 10.9% 9.1% 8.3% 8.6% 6.2% 3.8% 1.2% 0.2%
Payton Canavan 4.3% 5.1% 5.6% 5.5% 6.9% 7.1% 8.2% 8.9% 11.3% 12.6% 11.7% 7.8% 4.0% 1.1%
Katherine Bennett 10.3% 9.7% 8.9% 10.8% 10.4% 10.2% 9.3% 9.2% 8.6% 6.7% 3.4% 1.9% 0.7% 0.0%
Kennedy Jones 2.2% 3.3% 3.4% 3.9% 5.1% 4.5% 5.2% 6.6% 8.6% 10.1% 14.5% 15.8% 10.6% 6.2%
Hannah Mercurio 0.9% 1.1% 1.2% 1.6% 2.9% 1.8% 2.9% 4.2% 4.2% 6.8% 10.9% 14.6% 19.4% 27.4%
Maren Behnke 1.1% 1.2% 1.7% 1.1% 1.8% 2.2% 1.7% 3.8% 4.8% 6.2% 9.9% 15.2% 21.9% 27.6%
Bracklinn Williams 1.2% 0.9% 1.8% 1.4% 1.5% 2.0% 2.5% 3.2% 3.9% 5.8% 9.0% 14.5% 21.7% 30.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.