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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech0.67+1.21vs Predicted
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2University of Maryland-0.08+1.49vs Predicted
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3Catholic University of America-1.85+2.72vs Predicted
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4American University-0.61-0.05vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.13-1.81vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.43+0.12vs Predicted
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7Penn State University-1.01-2.18vs Predicted
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8William and Mary-2.10-1.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.21Virginia Tech0.6738.8%1st Place
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3.49University of Maryland-0.0815.1%1st Place
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5.72Catholic University of America-1.854.3%1st Place
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3.95American University-0.6111.8%1st Place
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3.19U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.1318.1%1st Place
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6.12University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.432.9%1st Place
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4.82Penn State University-1.016.7%1st Place
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6.5William and Mary-2.102.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Lilyquist | 38.8% | 26.0% | 18.4% | 11.0% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jared Cohen | 15.1% | 17.4% | 20.0% | 18.9% | 14.5% | 9.3% | 3.8% | 1.1% |
| John Anthony Caraig | 4.3% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 14.3% | 20.8% | 22.6% | 19.1% |
| Brooke Lorson | 11.8% | 15.3% | 14.6% | 17.5% | 17.8% | 13.1% | 8.0% | 1.9% |
| Robert Finora | 18.1% | 22.1% | 19.4% | 17.1% | 13.3% | 6.7% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| John TIS | 2.9% | 3.2% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 18.1% | 24.1% | 28.8% |
| Nathan Mascia | 6.7% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 14.7% | 17.8% | 18.2% | 14.7% | 8.1% |
| Elizabeth Thesmar | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 8.6% | 12.4% | 24.0% | 40.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.