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📊 Prediction Accuracy
10.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University4.26+5.89vs Predicted
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2Tufts University4.08+5.59vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.49+7.41vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland4.03+3.83vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+5.54vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.65+3.63vs Predicted
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73.24+4.79vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College2.89+4.83vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University3.70+0.21vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University4.36-3.54vs Predicted
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11Cornell University2.77+2.60vs Predicted
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12University of Michigan2.97+0.95vs Predicted
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13Stanford University4.19-5.48vs Predicted
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14Harvard University3.79-5.14vs Predicted
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15Brown University3.69-5.63vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin3.04-3.62vs Predicted
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17University of Virginia3.01-4.64vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida3.15-6.01vs Predicted
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19Washington College2.84-5.81vs Predicted
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20University of Vermont2.55-5.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.89Fordham University4.260.1%1st Place
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7.59Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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10.41St. Mary's College of Maryland3.490.0%1st Place
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7.83St. Mary's College of Maryland4.030.1%1st Place
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10.54Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.0%1st Place
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9.63College of Charleston3.650.1%1st Place
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11.793.240.0%1st Place
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12.83Eckerd College2.890.0%1st Place
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9.21Old Dominion University3.700.1%1st Place
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6.46Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
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13.6Cornell University2.770.0%1st Place
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12.95University of Michigan2.970.0%1st Place
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7.52Stanford University4.190.1%1st Place
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8.86Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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9.37Brown University3.690.1%1st Place
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12.38University of Wisconsin3.040.0%1st Place
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12.36University of Virginia3.010.0%1st Place
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11.99University of South Florida3.150.0%1st Place
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13.19Washington College2.840.0%1st Place
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14.61University of Vermont2.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olin Paine | 9.3% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| William Haeger | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Markus Edegran | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 1.8% |
| Fletcher Sims | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| David Alfonso | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.3% |
| Jake Reynolds | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.8% |
| Eddie Cox | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.9% |
| Tony Collins | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 9.1% |
| Brady Stagg | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Nevin Snow | 10.7% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Duncan Howes | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 13.9% |
| Alex Ramos | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 9.8% |
| Kieran Chung | 8.0% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Judge Ryan | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.2% |
| Connor Trepton | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.3% |
| Christopher Stessing | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 7.5% |
| Benjamin Mohney | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% |
| Ryan Bailey | 3.0% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 10.3% |
| Steven Pelissier | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 20.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.