Race 8A

maisa-spring-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

64.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Brooke Shachoy 15.4% 13.6% 12.3% 11.9% 10.8% 9.4% 7.8% 7.0% 5.1% 3.5% 2.0% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
Bridget Groble 8.2% 8.0% 8.5% 8.9% 9.0% 9.5% 10.6% 9.8% 8.8% 7.6% 6.3% 3.3% 1.5% 0.1%
Ella Withington 6.2% 6.9% 7.4% 8.8% 8.6% 10.4% 10.4% 10.1% 9.9% 9.5% 5.7% 3.9% 1.8% 0.4%
Amanda Majernik 7.5% 9.1% 9.8% 9.8% 11.0% 9.4% 9.5% 8.6% 10.0% 6.7% 4.7% 2.8% 0.9% 0.1%
Piper Holthus 20.5% 18.2% 16.1% 13.2% 10.5% 7.5% 5.9% 4.2% 2.3% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Payton Canavan 4.8% 5.4% 6.6% 5.8% 7.3% 9.0% 8.4% 9.5% 10.7% 10.4% 10.3% 7.4% 3.8% 0.8%
Katherine Bennett 8.9% 10.2% 10.5% 9.7% 10.2% 8.8% 10.2% 9.0% 7.6% 6.2% 5.1% 2.8% 0.5% 0.1%
Emma AuBuchon 8.3% 8.8% 8.6% 9.8% 9.8% 10.6% 9.2% 9.8% 8.3% 7.0% 5.6% 3.2% 0.9% 0.1%
Olivia de Olazarra 11.5% 11.1% 10.4% 9.8% 10.7% 10.1% 9.3% 9.1% 7.7% 5.8% 2.9% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
Kennedy Jones 2.8% 2.5% 2.6% 4.0% 3.8% 4.5% 5.6% 7.3% 9.7% 11.2% 13.7% 13.5% 12.6% 6.3%
Hannah Mercurio 1.6% 1.3% 1.5% 1.8% 1.6% 2.2% 2.7% 4.0% 4.0% 6.2% 8.2% 16.9% 21.1% 27.1%
Bracklinn Williams 0.9% 1.4% 1.1% 1.5% 1.8% 2.4% 2.1% 2.8% 3.3% 7.0% 9.9% 13.7% 20.8% 31.4%
Maren Behnke 0.9% 1.1% 1.9% 1.4% 1.8% 1.6% 3.1% 2.6% 4.9% 7.5% 9.8% 14.9% 22.1% 26.2%
Clara Guarascio 2.4% 2.4% 2.6% 3.5% 3.2% 4.7% 5.1% 6.2% 7.8% 10.3% 15.6% 15.8% 13.3% 7.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.