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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University3.70+8.28vs Predicted
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2Fordham University4.26+4.86vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.65+6.63vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland4.03+3.85vs Predicted
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5University of Virginia3.01+7.44vs Predicted
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6Stanford University4.19+1.27vs Predicted
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73.24+4.80vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin3.04+4.15vs Predicted
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9Tufts University4.08-1.53vs Predicted
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10Washington College2.84+3.33vs Predicted
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11University of Michigan2.97+1.76vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-1.19vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland3.49-2.30vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College2.89-0.94vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida3.15-3.16vs Predicted
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16Georgetown University4.36-9.53vs Predicted
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17Cornell University2.77-3.58vs Predicted
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18Harvard University3.79-9.04vs Predicted
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19Brown University3.69-9.69vs Predicted
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20University of Vermont2.55-5.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.28Old Dominion University3.700.1%1st Place
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6.86Fordham University4.260.1%1st Place
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9.63College of Charleston3.650.1%1st Place
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7.85St. Mary's College of Maryland4.030.1%1st Place
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12.44University of Virginia3.010.0%1st Place
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7.27Stanford University4.190.1%1st Place
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11.83.240.0%1st Place
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12.15University of Wisconsin3.040.0%1st Place
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7.47Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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13.33Washington College2.840.0%1st Place
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12.76University of Michigan2.970.0%1st Place
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10.81Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.0%1st Place
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10.7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.490.0%1st Place
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13.06Eckerd College2.890.0%1st Place
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11.84University of South Florida3.150.0%1st Place
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6.47Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
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13.42Cornell University2.770.0%1st Place
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8.96Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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9.31Brown University3.690.1%1st Place
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14.59University of Vermont2.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brady Stagg | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.4% |
| Olin Paine | 11.1% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jake Reynolds | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 0.7% |
| Fletcher Sims | 8.3% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Christopher Stessing | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.0% |
| Kieran Chung | 7.9% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Eddie Cox | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.2% |
| Connor Trepton | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% |
| William Haeger | 7.6% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Bailey | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 11.4% |
| Alex Ramos | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 9.2% |
| David Alfonso | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 2.3% |
| Markus Edegran | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.4% |
| Tony Collins | 1.5% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 11.3% |
| Benjamin Mohney | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.5% |
| Nevin Snow | 10.6% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Duncan Howes | 2.7% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 12.4% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Judge Ryan | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 1.2% |
| Steven Pelissier | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 12.8% | 20.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.