Race 10A

maisa-spring-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Amanda Majernik 9.0% 9.1% 8.6% 9.5% 10.2% 9.4% 10.1% 9.2% 8.8% 5.9% 5.9% 3.0% 1.0% 0.1%
Piper Holthus 20.1% 18.4% 15.1% 12.2% 11.6% 8.0% 5.3% 5.1% 2.3% 1.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Olivia de Olazarra 11.3% 9.4% 10.7% 10.9% 9.2% 11.6% 9.2% 9.3% 6.7% 5.8% 3.7% 1.7% 0.5% 0.0%
Katherine Bennett 9.8% 10.0% 10.0% 10.0% 10.4% 10.1% 10.3% 8.8% 8.2% 5.7% 3.9% 2.0% 0.9% 0.1%
Brooke Shachoy 14.4% 12.9% 12.8% 12.2% 11.7% 10.4% 7.6% 5.7% 4.9% 4.5% 2.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Bridget Groble 7.3% 8.2% 8.1% 10.0% 9.4% 8.4% 10.2% 9.1% 8.9% 9.2% 6.0% 3.4% 1.6% 0.4%
Ella Withington 6.2% 7.2% 8.2% 7.3% 8.7% 9.3% 8.8% 10.2% 10.4% 9.8% 6.6% 4.6% 2.0% 0.5%
Payton Canavan 5.1% 5.8% 5.8% 5.8% 6.3% 7.8% 8.2% 9.7% 11.4% 10.3% 11.2% 7.8% 3.6% 1.1%
Kennedy Jones 2.4% 2.9% 4.0% 3.7% 3.8% 5.1% 6.8% 6.9% 9.2% 10.3% 14.1% 14.0% 11.5% 5.5%
Hannah Mercurio 1.3% 1.8% 1.8% 2.1% 1.4% 2.4% 2.4% 3.4% 4.2% 5.7% 10.0% 15.4% 22.1% 26.2%
Emma AuBuchon 8.1% 8.9% 9.8% 10.7% 10.6% 9.2% 10.3% 8.9% 8.0% 7.2% 4.2% 2.7% 1.2% 0.1%
Bracklinn Williams 1.2% 1.0% 1.1% 1.4% 1.8% 2.0% 1.9% 3.2% 4.9% 6.0% 8.5% 13.9% 20.9% 32.2%
Maren Behnke 1.3% 1.4% 1.1% 1.6% 1.5% 2.4% 3.3% 4.0% 4.3% 7.6% 9.2% 14.8% 21.6% 26.2%
Clara Guarascio 2.6% 2.9% 3.0% 2.6% 3.5% 3.9% 5.5% 6.5% 7.8% 10.7% 14.1% 16.0% 13.0% 7.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.