← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Fordham University4.26+5.85vs Predicted
-
2Stanford University4.19+5.17vs Predicted
-
3St. Mary's College of Maryland4.03+4.89vs Predicted
-
4Cornell University2.77+9.57vs Predicted
-
5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.49+5.22vs Predicted
-
6Georgetown University4.36+0.50vs Predicted
-
7Eckerd College2.89+6.43vs Predicted
-
8University of Wisconsin3.04+4.15vs Predicted
-
9Harvard University3.79-0.19vs Predicted
-
10Brown University3.69-0.60vs Predicted
-
11College of Charleston3.65-1.36vs Predicted
-
123.24-0.23vs Predicted
-
13University of Virginia3.01-0.14vs Predicted
-
14Washington College2.84-0.81vs Predicted
-
15Tufts University4.08-7.37vs Predicted
-
16University of Michigan2.97-3.37vs Predicted
-
17Old Dominion University3.70-7.82vs Predicted
-
18University of Vermont2.55-3.46vs Predicted
-
19Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-8.46vs Predicted
-
20University of South Florida3.15-7.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.85Fordham University4.260.1%1st Place
-
7.17Stanford University4.190.1%1st Place
-
7.89St. Mary's College of Maryland4.030.1%1st Place
-
13.57Cornell University2.770.0%1st Place
-
10.22St. Mary's College of Maryland3.490.0%1st Place
-
6.5Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
-
13.43Eckerd College2.890.0%1st Place
-
12.15University of Wisconsin3.040.0%1st Place
-
8.81Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
-
9.4Brown University3.690.0%1st Place
-
9.64College of Charleston3.650.1%1st Place
-
11.773.240.0%1st Place
-
12.86University of Virginia3.010.0%1st Place
-
13.19Washington College2.840.0%1st Place
-
7.63Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
-
12.63University of Michigan2.970.0%1st Place
-
9.18Old Dominion University3.700.1%1st Place
-
14.54University of Vermont2.550.0%1st Place
-
10.54Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.0%1st Place
-
12.03University of South Florida3.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olin Paine | 10.6% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Kieran Chung | 9.4% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Fletcher Sims | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Duncan Howes | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 14.0% |
| Markus Edegran | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 2.4% |
| Nevin Snow | 9.7% | 11.4% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Tony Collins | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 11.0% |
| Connor Trepton | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Judge Ryan | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 1.3% |
| Jake Reynolds | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.5% |
| Eddie Cox | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.2% |
| Christopher Stessing | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 8.7% |
| Ryan Bailey | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 11.0% |
| William Haeger | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Alex Ramos | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 7.8% |
| Brady Stagg | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.1% |
| Steven Pelissier | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 13.1% | 19.2% |
| David Alfonso | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 1.9% |
| Benjamin Mohney | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.