← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
5.0%
Within 2 Positions
5.2
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Fordham University4.26+5.87vs Predicted
-
2Stanford University4.19+5.20vs Predicted
-
3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.49+7.34vs Predicted
-
4St. Mary's College of Maryland4.03+3.81vs Predicted
-
5University of Michigan2.97+7.62vs Predicted
-
6Eckerd College2.89+7.20vs Predicted
-
7College of Charleston3.65+2.88vs Predicted
-
8Cornell University2.77+5.33vs Predicted
-
9University of South Florida3.15+2.78vs Predicted
-
103.24+1.49vs Predicted
-
11Georgetown University4.36-4.40vs Predicted
-
12University of Vermont2.55+2.72vs Predicted
-
13Brown University3.69-3.27vs Predicted
-
14Old Dominion University3.70-4.74vs Predicted
-
15Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-4.46vs Predicted
-
16Washington College2.84-2.77vs Predicted
-
17University of Virginia3.01-4.66vs Predicted
-
18Harvard University3.79-8.98vs Predicted
-
19Tufts University4.08-11.49vs Predicted
-
20University of Wisconsin3.04-7.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.87Fordham University4.260.1%1st Place
-
7.2Stanford University4.190.1%1st Place
-
10.34St. Mary's College of Maryland3.490.0%1st Place
-
7.81St. Mary's College of Maryland4.030.1%1st Place
-
12.62University of Michigan2.970.0%1st Place
-
13.2Eckerd College2.890.0%1st Place
-
9.88College of Charleston3.650.0%1st Place
-
13.33Cornell University2.770.0%1st Place
-
11.78University of South Florida3.150.0%1st Place
-
11.493.240.0%1st Place
-
6.6Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
-
14.72University of Vermont2.550.0%1st Place
-
9.73Brown University3.690.0%1st Place
-
9.26Old Dominion University3.700.1%1st Place
-
10.54Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.0%1st Place
-
13.23Washington College2.840.0%1st Place
-
12.34University of Virginia3.010.0%1st Place
-
9.02Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
-
7.51Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
-
12.53University of Wisconsin3.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olin Paine | 9.8% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Kieran Chung | 9.5% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Markus Edegran | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.1% |
| Fletcher Sims | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Alex Ramos | 2.2% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 8.0% |
| Tony Collins | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 10.0% |
| Jake Reynolds | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.3% |
| Duncan Howes | 2.0% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 12.4% |
| Benjamin Mohney | 3.0% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 4.7% |
| Eddie Cox | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.6% |
| Nevin Snow | 12.2% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Steven Pelissier | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 9.5% | 13.7% | 21.9% |
| Judge Ryan | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.9% |
| Brady Stagg | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.6% |
| David Alfonso | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 2.6% |
| Ryan Bailey | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 12.5% |
| Christopher Stessing | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.7% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| William Haeger | 7.2% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% |
| Connor Trepton | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.