Race 11A

maisa-spring-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Brooke Shachoy 14.3% 13.6% 13.1% 13.2% 11.2% 9.4% 8.7% 5.7% 4.3% 3.6% 1.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1%
Amanda Majernik 7.9% 8.5% 9.0% 9.8% 10.1% 9.9% 10.9% 9.6% 9.7% 6.2% 5.1% 2.1% 0.9% 0.2%
Ella Withington 6.6% 6.9% 7.6% 7.3% 8.1% 10.3% 10.0% 9.9% 11.1% 8.5% 7.0% 4.5% 2.0% 0.2%
Piper Holthus 22.2% 18.4% 15.0% 12.4% 10.7% 7.2% 5.1% 3.8% 3.1% 1.2% 0.8% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Payton Canavan 4.5% 5.4% 6.7% 6.2% 7.6% 8.2% 8.6% 9.0% 11.2% 10.7% 10.1% 7.0% 4.4% 0.5%
Katherine Bennett 9.6% 9.7% 11.6% 9.3% 9.8% 8.7% 9.5% 8.5% 7.7% 7.3% 5.2% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1%
Hannah Mercurio 1.2% 1.4% 1.2% 1.8% 2.0% 2.0% 3.1% 3.5% 4.7% 5.7% 10.2% 14.4% 22.2% 26.6%
Olivia de Olazarra 10.3% 11.4% 10.6% 10.8% 10.5% 10.4% 9.4% 9.8% 6.9% 4.5% 3.4% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
Emma AuBuchon 9.3% 9.0% 8.9% 9.6% 10.9% 9.3% 10.0% 9.5% 8.1% 6.8% 4.9% 2.9% 0.9% 0.1%
Kennedy Jones 2.7% 3.1% 2.4% 3.8% 4.3% 5.1% 5.9% 7.4% 7.9% 12.3% 14.3% 14.0% 10.9% 5.8%
Bridget Groble 7.2% 7.9% 8.2% 10.2% 7.8% 9.7% 9.0% 10.1% 9.8% 9.4% 5.9% 3.6% 1.0% 0.1%
Bracklinn Williams 1.1% 1.1% 1.5% 1.1% 1.5% 2.2% 2.7% 3.0% 4.3% 5.1% 7.7% 14.5% 22.4% 31.9%
Maren Behnke 0.9% 0.9% 1.5% 1.9% 2.1% 2.4% 1.9% 2.9% 4.1% 7.1% 9.5% 16.4% 20.9% 27.4%
Clara Guarascio 2.2% 2.9% 2.8% 2.5% 3.4% 5.1% 5.2% 7.4% 7.1% 11.5% 14.3% 15.7% 13.2% 6.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.