Race 12A

maisa-spring-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Amanda Majernik 9.6% 9.2% 9.0% 9.7% 8.7% 9.8% 8.6% 10.4% 8.5% 7.0% 5.2% 2.8% 1.1% 0.1%
Bridget Groble 7.3% 8.1% 8.5% 9.2% 8.6% 9.6% 9.5% 10.1% 9.8% 8.2% 6.9% 3.5% 1.0% 0.1%
Payton Canavan 5.1% 5.9% 6.5% 5.7% 6.2% 7.1% 9.8% 10.6% 10.0% 11.5% 9.2% 8.0% 3.5% 0.9%
Katherine Bennett 9.3% 8.8% 10.7% 9.4% 10.8% 9.3% 10.1% 8.9% 9.0% 6.2% 4.1% 2.2% 1.1% 0.1%
Brooke Shachoy 13.4% 14.0% 12.4% 12.0% 11.1% 10.9% 8.8% 7.6% 5.0% 2.5% 1.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Piper Holthus 21.5% 17.8% 15.8% 11.8% 9.9% 8.8% 5.4% 3.6% 3.1% 1.3% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Emma AuBuchon 8.3% 10.0% 8.3% 10.3% 10.3% 9.7% 10.1% 8.2% 9.5% 6.7% 4.9% 2.5% 0.8% 0.3%
Olivia de Olazarra 10.5% 11.2% 10.0% 11.5% 11.6% 10.2% 9.2% 7.8% 5.9% 6.3% 3.0% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1%
Ella Withington 6.6% 6.5% 7.0% 7.4% 10.2% 8.8% 8.8% 10.4% 9.8% 10.0% 7.6% 4.2% 1.9% 0.5%
Kennedy Jones 2.9% 2.9% 4.6% 3.5% 4.0% 4.7% 5.9% 5.7% 9.0% 11.5% 14.4% 13.4% 11.1% 6.5%
Hannah Mercurio 1.4% 1.0% 1.4% 2.3% 1.9% 1.9% 3.4% 2.9% 3.6% 6.0% 8.4% 14.8% 22.7% 28.2%
Bracklinn Williams 0.9% 0.9% 1.6% 1.7% 1.6% 2.2% 2.1% 3.0% 4.8% 5.4% 8.8% 14.4% 20.8% 31.7%
Maren Behnke 1.2% 1.6% 1.9% 1.4% 1.6% 2.9% 3.6% 3.9% 3.9% 7.0% 9.6% 15.8% 21.8% 23.8%
Clara Guarascio 1.8% 2.1% 2.4% 4.1% 3.5% 4.1% 4.7% 6.6% 8.2% 10.4% 15.9% 14.9% 13.7% 7.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.