Race 13A

maisa-spring-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

64.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Amanda Majernik 9.7% 8.6% 9.3% 9.3% 9.8% 10.2% 9.6% 9.3% 8.8% 6.9% 5.2% 2.5% 0.9% 0.1%
Brooke Shachoy 12.8% 13.4% 12.5% 12.0% 11.8% 10.4% 7.7% 7.8% 5.0% 3.5% 2.5% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Katherine Bennett 9.2% 9.5% 10.8% 10.1% 9.9% 10.3% 9.8% 8.8% 8.1% 6.6% 4.2% 1.7% 0.9% 0.1%
Piper Holthus 20.2% 17.8% 14.4% 13.3% 10.3% 8.2% 5.9% 5.1% 2.5% 1.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Emma AuBuchon 7.1% 8.1% 10.5% 9.8% 10.4% 9.7% 10.4% 9.8% 8.2% 7.2% 4.7% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2%
Bridget Groble 9.0% 8.5% 8.2% 9.4% 10.3% 8.2% 9.3% 9.0% 9.0% 7.8% 6.3% 3.2% 1.6% 0.2%
Ella Withington 7.4% 7.1% 7.5% 7.4% 8.5% 8.1% 9.3% 9.6% 10.9% 9.8% 7.3% 4.5% 1.9% 0.4%
Payton Canavan 5.0% 5.9% 5.1% 6.7% 6.8% 7.6% 7.6% 10.6% 10.6% 11.6% 9.7% 8.5% 3.3% 1.1%
Olivia de Olazarra 10.2% 10.7% 11.2% 10.2% 9.2% 10.3% 10.5% 9.2% 7.4% 5.8% 3.7% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Hannah Mercurio 1.2% 1.5% 1.6% 1.6% 1.1% 2.2% 3.1% 3.6% 4.2% 6.3% 9.0% 14.8% 22.2% 27.5%
Kennedy Jones 3.1% 3.3% 3.0% 4.0% 4.3% 5.8% 5.6% 6.4% 8.6% 11.1% 13.6% 14.7% 11.5% 5.1%
Bracklinn Williams 1.2% 1.1% 1.8% 1.4% 1.7% 1.9% 2.6% 2.5% 4.0% 5.5% 8.5% 15.3% 21.0% 31.4%
Maren Behnke 1.1% 1.6% 1.4% 1.5% 1.8% 2.2% 3.5% 2.9% 3.6% 5.8% 10.3% 14.9% 22.4% 27.2%
Clara Guarascio 2.7% 3.0% 2.8% 3.3% 4.2% 4.8% 5.0% 5.3% 9.0% 10.7% 14.5% 14.9% 13.0% 6.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.