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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin3.19+9.52vs Predicted
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2Fordham University3.11+8.97vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34+7.05vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.73+4.02vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida3.00+6.33vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27+4.22vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.62+1.86vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University3.82-0.51vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont3.41+0.41vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy3.17+0.67vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University3.47-1.71vs Predicted
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12Stanford University3.90-4.54vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.88-5.23vs Predicted
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14Harvard University3.49-4.91vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University2.98-3.47vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan3.02-4.63vs Predicted
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17University of Virginia2.39-2.97vs Predicted
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18Eckerd College2.43-3.88vs Predicted
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19Cornell University2.85-6.91vs Predicted
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20Washington College2.01-4.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.52University of Wisconsin3.190.0%1st Place
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10.97Fordham University3.110.0%1st Place
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10.05St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.1%1st Place
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8.02Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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11.33University of South Florida3.000.0%1st Place
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10.22Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.0%1st Place
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8.86College of Charleston3.620.1%1st Place
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7.49Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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9.41University of Vermont3.410.0%1st Place
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10.67U. S. Naval Academy3.170.0%1st Place
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9.29Georgetown University3.470.1%1st Place
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7.46Stanford University3.900.1%1st Place
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7.77Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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9.09Harvard University3.490.1%1st Place
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11.53Roger Williams University2.980.0%1st Place
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11.37University of Michigan3.020.0%1st Place
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14.03University of Virginia2.390.0%1st Place
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14.12Eckerd College2.430.0%1st Place
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12.09Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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15.72Washington College2.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Lee | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 2.3% |
| Connor Godfrey | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.6% |
| Nicholas Clemence | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 2.1% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Paul Perry | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 3.4% |
| David Larson | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.4% |
| Nick Johnstone | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Esteban Forrer | 8.6% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Nate Jermain | 4.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Michael Madigan | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 2.3% |
| Sean Golden | 6.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Mateo Vargas | 9.5% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Pearson Potts | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Brian Drumm | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Stewart Draheim | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 5.2% |
| Ryan Seago | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.3% |
| Christopher Craven | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 12.6% | 15.8% |
| Walker Banks | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 16.7% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 5.8% |
| Matthew McDermaid | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 13.8% | 30.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.