Race 14A

maisa-spring-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Piper Holthus 21.0% 18.4% 14.3% 13.4% 10.3% 8.3% 6.9% 4.0% 2.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Katherine Bennett 9.6% 8.9% 10.5% 9.8% 9.0% 10.3% 9.3% 10.0% 8.3% 6.7% 4.2% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1%
Payton Canavan 4.1% 5.2% 6.7% 6.7% 6.6% 7.0% 9.7% 9.2% 11.0% 10.3% 10.2% 7.6% 4.2% 1.4%
Amanda Majernik 7.1% 9.4% 9.2% 10.0% 9.6% 10.7% 9.5% 10.2% 8.3% 8.1% 4.5% 2.6% 0.8% 0.1%
Bridget Groble 7.9% 8.1% 8.1% 8.6% 8.8% 8.2% 10.0% 10.6% 9.3% 8.8% 7.1% 2.8% 1.6% 0.4%
Brooke Shachoy 14.6% 13.8% 13.0% 11.8% 12.0% 9.9% 7.9% 6.2% 5.0% 3.5% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Olivia de Olazarra 11.6% 10.3% 10.3% 10.9% 10.8% 10.8% 9.8% 8.5% 7.4% 5.0% 2.9% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
Ella Withington 7.1% 7.8% 7.8% 7.4% 8.5% 9.6% 9.0% 9.9% 9.3% 9.0% 8.1% 4.3% 1.7% 0.5%
Emma AuBuchon 8.9% 9.0% 9.7% 9.2% 10.8% 9.4% 8.9% 9.1% 8.5% 6.8% 5.9% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2%
Hannah Mercurio 1.1% 1.7% 1.2% 1.8% 1.8% 2.8% 2.8% 3.6% 4.2% 6.2% 9.0% 16.1% 22.2% 25.8%
Kennedy Jones 2.7% 2.7% 3.3% 3.5% 4.1% 5.1% 5.9% 6.6% 8.3% 10.8% 14.7% 15.7% 11.1% 5.5%
Bracklinn Williams 0.9% 1.1% 1.6% 1.9% 1.5% 2.1% 2.2% 3.1% 4.8% 5.7% 8.2% 14.3% 21.6% 31.1%
Maren Behnke 1.3% 1.3% 1.3% 1.3% 2.1% 2.1% 3.0% 4.1% 4.8% 7.1% 9.1% 14.3% 20.5% 27.7%
Clara Guarascio 2.0% 2.3% 2.9% 3.6% 4.3% 3.8% 5.1% 5.1% 8.3% 11.7% 14.3% 15.2% 14.3% 7.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.