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📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.0%
Within 2 Positions
5.0
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.73+7.04vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.88+5.40vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34+6.99vs Predicted
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4Fordham University3.11+6.96vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy3.17+5.59vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont3.41+3.58vs Predicted
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7University of Virginia2.39+7.49vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida3.00+3.21vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.98+2.47vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin3.19+0.57vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27-0.74vs Predicted
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12Cornell University2.85+0.34vs Predicted
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13Stanford University3.90-5.33vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston3.62-5.51vs Predicted
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15University of Michigan3.02-3.65vs Predicted
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16Georgetown University3.47-6.79vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University3.82-9.56vs Predicted
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18Harvard University3.49-8.73vs Predicted
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19Washington College2.01-3.46vs Predicted
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20Eckerd College2.43-5.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.04Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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7.4Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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9.99St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.1%1st Place
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10.96Fordham University3.110.0%1st Place
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10.59U. S. Naval Academy3.170.0%1st Place
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9.58University of Vermont3.410.0%1st Place
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14.49University of Virginia2.390.0%1st Place
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11.21University of South Florida3.000.0%1st Place
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11.47Roger Williams University2.980.0%1st Place
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10.57University of Wisconsin3.190.0%1st Place
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10.26Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.1%1st Place
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12.34Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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7.67Stanford University3.900.1%1st Place
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8.49College of Charleston3.620.1%1st Place
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11.35University of Michigan3.020.0%1st Place
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9.21Georgetown University3.470.1%1st Place
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7.44Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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9.27Harvard University3.490.1%1st Place
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15.54Washington College2.010.0%1st Place
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14.13Eckerd College2.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 7.1% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.9% |
| Pearson Potts | 9.6% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Clemence | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 1.4% |
| Connor Godfrey | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.0% |
| Michael Madigan | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 2.4% |
| Nate Jermain | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.3% |
| Christopher Craven | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 14.1% | 16.5% |
| Paul Perry | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 4.1% |
| Stewart Draheim | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.8% |
| Michael Lee | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 2.7% |
| David Larson | 5.4% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.6% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 6.5% |
| Mateo Vargas | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Nick Johnstone | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Ryan Seago | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 3.9% |
| Sean Golden | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.3% |
| Esteban Forrer | 9.1% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Brian Drumm | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.1% |
| Matthew McDermaid | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 15.0% | 29.7% |
| Walker Banks | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 12.7% | 15.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.