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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.49+8.13vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.73+6.04vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.85+9.14vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.47+5.22vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27+5.13vs Predicted
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6Stanford University3.90+1.33vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.62+1.86vs Predicted
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8Washington College2.01+7.48vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34+0.76vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy3.17+0.64vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.88-3.49vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont3.41-2.24vs Predicted
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13University of Virginia2.39+1.52vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin3.19-3.48vs Predicted
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15University of Michigan3.02-3.66vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University3.82-8.44vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College2.43-3.10vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida3.00-6.46vs Predicted
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19Roger Williams University2.98-7.44vs Predicted
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20Fordham University3.11-8.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.13Harvard University3.490.1%1st Place
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8.04Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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12.14Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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9.22Georgetown University3.470.1%1st Place
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10.13Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.0%1st Place
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7.33Stanford University3.900.1%1st Place
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8.86College of Charleston3.620.1%1st Place
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15.48Washington College2.010.0%1st Place
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9.76St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.0%1st Place
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10.64U. S. Naval Academy3.170.0%1st Place
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7.51Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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9.76University of Vermont3.410.1%1st Place
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14.52University of Virginia2.390.0%1st Place
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10.52University of Wisconsin3.190.0%1st Place
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11.34University of Michigan3.020.0%1st Place
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7.56Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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13.9Eckerd College2.430.0%1st Place
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11.54University of South Florida3.000.0%1st Place
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11.56Roger Williams University2.980.0%1st Place
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11.08Fordham University3.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Drumm | 5.5% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 6.1% |
| Sean Golden | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.7% |
| David Larson | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.8% |
| Mateo Vargas | 8.4% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Nick Johnstone | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Matthew McDermaid | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 13.1% | 30.6% |
| Nicholas Clemence | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 8.1% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.1% |
| Michael Madigan | 4.0% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 2.7% |
| Pearson Potts | 9.0% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Nate Jermain | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.2% |
| Christopher Craven | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 15.0% | 18.0% |
| Michael Lee | 3.8% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.7% |
| Ryan Seago | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 4.1% |
| Esteban Forrer | 8.7% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.4% |
| Walker Banks | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 13.4% | 14.3% |
| Paul Perry | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 4.4% |
| Stewart Draheim | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 4.6% | 4.3% |
| Connor Godfrey | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.