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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.17+9.59vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.90+5.22vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34+7.00vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.47+5.22vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College2.43+8.92vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida3.00+5.53vs Predicted
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7Fordham University3.11+4.31vs Predicted
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8Harvard University3.49+0.98vs Predicted
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9Tufts University3.73-1.08vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston3.62-1.48vs Predicted
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11Cornell University2.85+1.27vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.88-4.36vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University3.82-5.00vs Predicted
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14University of Virginia2.39+0.15vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont3.41-5.45vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27-5.81vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin3.19-6.63vs Predicted
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18Roger Williams University2.98-6.39vs Predicted
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19University of Michigan3.02-7.75vs Predicted
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20Washington College2.01-4.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.59U. S. Naval Academy3.170.0%1st Place
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7.22Stanford University3.900.1%1st Place
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10.0St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.1%1st Place
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9.22Georgetown University3.470.1%1st Place
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13.92Eckerd College2.430.0%1st Place
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11.53University of South Florida3.000.0%1st Place
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11.31Fordham University3.110.0%1st Place
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8.98Harvard University3.490.1%1st Place
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7.92Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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8.52College of Charleston3.620.1%1st Place
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12.27Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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7.64Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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8.0Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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14.15University of Virginia2.390.0%1st Place
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9.55University of Vermont3.410.1%1st Place
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10.19Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.1%1st Place
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10.37University of Wisconsin3.190.0%1st Place
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11.61Roger Williams University2.980.0%1st Place
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11.25University of Michigan3.020.0%1st Place
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15.76Washington College2.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Madigan | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 2.5% |
| Mateo Vargas | 9.8% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Clemence | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 1.6% |
| Sean Golden | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.3% |
| Walker Banks | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 14.4% | 13.8% |
| Paul Perry | 3.2% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 4.4% |
| Connor Godfrey | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 4.0% |
| Brian Drumm | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Nick Johnstone | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 4.1% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 6.5% |
| Pearson Potts | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% |
| Esteban Forrer | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Christopher Craven | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 12.1% | 17.5% |
| Nate Jermain | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| David Larson | 5.1% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 2.1% |
| Michael Lee | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.0% |
| Stewart Draheim | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.1% |
| Ryan Seago | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 3.4% |
| Matthew McDermaid | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 14.0% | 30.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.