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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech0.67+1.16vs Predicted
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2American University-0.61+2.03vs Predicted
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3University of Maryland-0.08+0.52vs Predicted
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4Catholic University of America-1.85+1.71vs Predicted
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5Penn State University-1.01-0.05vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.13-2.82vs Predicted
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7University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.43-0.96vs Predicted
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8William and Mary-2.10-1.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.16Virginia Tech0.6739.4%1st Place
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4.03American University-0.6110.0%1st Place
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3.52University of Maryland-0.0815.0%1st Place
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5.71Catholic University of America-1.854.0%1st Place
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4.95Penn State University-1.016.7%1st Place
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3.18U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.1318.9%1st Place
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6.04University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.433.5%1st Place
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6.4William and Mary-2.102.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Lilyquist | 39.4% | 28.4% | 16.6% | 9.7% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Brooke Lorson | 10.0% | 14.3% | 15.4% | 18.6% | 18.6% | 13.4% | 7.4% | 2.5% |
| Jared Cohen | 15.0% | 17.1% | 19.4% | 18.8% | 14.9% | 10.0% | 3.8% | 1.1% |
| John Anthony Caraig | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 13.3% | 20.2% | 20.7% | 20.8% |
| Nathan Mascia | 6.7% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 13.8% | 18.6% | 18.6% | 16.4% | 8.6% |
| Robert Finora | 18.9% | 20.6% | 21.1% | 16.9% | 11.8% | 7.2% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| John TIS | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 16.5% | 25.3% | 27.5% |
| Elizabeth Thesmar | 2.5% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 8.8% | 12.8% | 23.2% | 39.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.