← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Pennsylvania1.77+3.63vs Predicted
-
2Cornell University2.38+1.50vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Naval Academy2.04+1.20vs Predicted
-
4Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97+2.69vs Predicted
-
5George Washington University1.24+1.66vs Predicted
-
6St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76-1.01vs Predicted
-
7Old Dominion University0.95-0.24vs Predicted
-
8Georgetown University1.37-2.07vs Predicted
-
9Fordham University1.13-2.42vs Predicted
-
10SUNY Maritime College-0.32+0.13vs Predicted
-
11Washington College-0.68-0.06vs Predicted
-
12University of Virginia-0.87-0.72vs Predicted
-
13Syracuse University-1.72-0.26vs Predicted
-
14Princeton University-0.32-4.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.63University of Pennsylvania1.7713.0%1st Place
-
3.5Cornell University2.3823.0%1st Place
-
4.2U. S. Naval Academy2.0415.2%1st Place
-
6.69Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.976.0%1st Place
-
6.66George Washington University1.246.2%1st Place
-
4.99St. Mary's College of Maryland1.7612.0%1st Place
-
6.76Old Dominion University0.955.5%1st Place
-
5.93Georgetown University1.377.5%1st Place
-
6.58Fordham University1.136.0%1st Place
-
10.13SUNY Maritime College-0.321.5%1st Place
-
10.94Washington College-0.681.0%1st Place
-
11.28University of Virginia-0.870.9%1st Place
-
12.74Syracuse University-1.720.5%1st Place
-
9.96Princeton University-0.321.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sofia Segalla | 13.0% | 13.6% | 12.6% | 12.6% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bridget Green | 23.0% | 18.1% | 16.8% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 15.2% | 15.6% | 14.5% | 13.8% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Heather Kerns | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Chiara Perotti Correa | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 12.0% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 6.3% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Madison Bashaw | 12.0% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 6.6% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Riley Kloc | 7.5% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Morgan Essex | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 8.5% | 12.8% | 17.2% | 17.0% | 14.7% | 7.0% |
| Hartley Meyer | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 9.3% | 14.9% | 18.0% | 22.4% | 13.4% |
| Elizabeth Harrington | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 7.8% | 11.5% | 20.3% | 26.1% | 16.0% |
| Erin Splaine | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 9.3% | 16.7% | 56.9% |
| Carly Mraz | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 11.5% | 15.2% | 18.7% | 14.9% | 6.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.