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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania1.77+3.69vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.04+2.26vs Predicted
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3George Washington University1.24+3.74vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76+0.93vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.38-1.62vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University1.37-0.12vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97-0.31vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University0.95-1.37vs Predicted
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9Fordham University1.13-2.38vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College-0.32+0.09vs Predicted
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11Syracuse University-1.72+1.75vs Predicted
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12Washington College-0.68-1.07vs Predicted
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13University of Virginia-0.87-1.72vs Predicted
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14Princeton University-0.32-3.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.69University of Pennsylvania1.7712.7%1st Place
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4.26U. S. Naval Academy2.0415.0%1st Place
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6.74George Washington University1.246.6%1st Place
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4.93St. Mary's College of Maryland1.7611.2%1st Place
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3.38Cornell University2.3823.1%1st Place
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5.88Georgetown University1.378.2%1st Place
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6.69Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.975.8%1st Place
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6.63Old Dominion University0.956.0%1st Place
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6.62Fordham University1.135.8%1st Place
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10.09SUNY Maritime College-0.321.8%1st Place
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12.75Syracuse University-1.720.4%1st Place
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10.93Washington College-0.681.0%1st Place
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11.28University of Virginia-0.871.0%1st Place
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10.13Princeton University-0.321.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sofia Segalla | 12.7% | 11.7% | 14.1% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 15.0% | 15.4% | 13.6% | 13.5% | 12.7% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chiara Perotti Correa | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Madison Bashaw | 11.2% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 12.6% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bridget Green | 23.1% | 20.0% | 16.7% | 13.0% | 10.3% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Riley Kloc | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Heather Kerns | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 6.7% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 12.5% | 10.2% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Morgan Essex | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 11.8% | 16.9% | 19.4% | 14.1% | 6.9% |
| Erin Splaine | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 17.8% | 56.0% |
| Hartley Meyer | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 9.2% | 15.2% | 19.3% | 21.4% | 12.7% |
| Elizabeth Harrington | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 17.6% | 25.6% | 18.2% |
| Carly Mraz | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 12.5% | 16.7% | 18.4% | 16.4% | 5.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.