← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Cornell University1.90+3.99vs Predicted
-
2George Washington University1.24+4.78vs Predicted
-
3St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76+1.84vs Predicted
-
4University of Pennsylvania1.77+0.49vs Predicted
-
5Fordham University1.13+1.56vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Naval Academy2.04-1.97vs Predicted
-
7Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97-0.19vs Predicted
-
8Old Dominion University0.95-1.26vs Predicted
-
9Georgetown University1.37-3.19vs Predicted
-
10University of Virginia0.06-0.46vs Predicted
-
11Washington College-0.68+0.05vs Predicted
-
12Syracuse University-1.72+0.96vs Predicted
-
13Princeton University-0.32-2.84vs Predicted
-
14SUNY Maritime College-0.32-3.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.99Cornell University1.9012.0%1st Place
-
6.78George Washington University1.247.1%1st Place
-
4.84St. Mary's College of Maryland1.7614.0%1st Place
-
4.49University of Pennsylvania1.7714.9%1st Place
-
6.56Fordham University1.136.7%1st Place
-
4.03U. S. Naval Academy2.0417.7%1st Place
-
6.81Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.976.0%1st Place
-
6.74Old Dominion University0.956.2%1st Place
-
5.81Georgetown University1.378.1%1st Place
-
9.54University of Virginia0.062.2%1st Place
-
11.05Washington College-0.681.7%1st Place
-
12.96Syracuse University-1.720.4%1st Place
-
10.16Princeton University-0.321.7%1st Place
-
10.24SUNY Maritime College-0.321.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Lilly Myers | 12.0% | 12.4% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
Chiara Perotti Correa | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
Madison Bashaw | 14.0% | 12.0% | 12.4% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Sofia Segalla | 14.9% | 14.3% | 13.2% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Elizabeth Cutler | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
Eva Blauvelt | 17.7% | 17.2% | 15.0% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heather Kerns | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
Elizabeth Gildea | 6.2% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
Riley Kloc | 8.1% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
Emma Sullivan | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 13.0% | 15.4% | 15.7% | 14.2% | 3.5% |
Hartley Meyer | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 11.8% | 17.0% | 25.7% | 16.6% |
Erin Splaine | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 8.2% | 15.3% | 63.0% |
Carly Mraz | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 13.2% | 19.4% | 19.0% | 7.3% |
Morgan Essex | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 13.7% | 19.9% | 17.9% | 8.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.