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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.47+8.19vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.62+6.55vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida3.00+8.49vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.49+5.15vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.88+2.40vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.73+2.09vs Predicted
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7Fordham University3.11+4.25vs Predicted
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8Washington College2.01+7.46vs Predicted
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9Stanford University3.90-1.84vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.98+1.55vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont3.41-1.45vs Predicted
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12Cornell University2.85+0.41vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy3.17-2.00vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34-4.15vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University3.82-7.34vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan3.02-4.70vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27-6.96vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin3.19-7.33vs Predicted
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19University of Virginia2.39-4.96vs Predicted
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20Eckerd College2.43-5.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.19Georgetown University3.470.1%1st Place
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8.55College of Charleston3.620.1%1st Place
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11.49University of South Florida3.000.0%1st Place
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9.15Harvard University3.490.1%1st Place
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7.4Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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8.09Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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11.25Fordham University3.110.0%1st Place
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15.46Washington College2.010.0%1st Place
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7.16Stanford University3.900.1%1st Place
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11.55Roger Williams University2.980.0%1st Place
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9.55University of Vermont3.410.1%1st Place
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12.41Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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11.0U. S. Naval Academy3.170.0%1st Place
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9.85St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.0%1st Place
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7.66Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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11.3University of Michigan3.020.0%1st Place
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10.04Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.0%1st Place
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10.67University of Wisconsin3.190.0%1st Place
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14.04University of Virginia2.390.0%1st Place
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14.19Eckerd College2.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Golden | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.3% |
| Nick Johnstone | 8.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Paul Perry | 4.2% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% |
| Brian Drumm | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.7% |
| Pearson Potts | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 6.9% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Connor Godfrey | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.5% |
| Matthew McDermaid | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 13.6% | 29.3% |
| Mateo Vargas | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Stewart Draheim | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.3% |
| Nate Jermain | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.3% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 3.7% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 6.3% |
| Michael Madigan | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 3.6% |
| Nicholas Clemence | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 1.7% |
| Esteban Forrer | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Seago | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 3.9% |
| David Larson | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 2.2% |
| Michael Lee | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 2.4% |
| Christopher Craven | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 13.2% | 15.7% |
| Walker Banks | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 16.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.