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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.90+6.28vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34+7.85vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy3.17+7.82vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University3.82+3.66vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.62+3.58vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.49+3.23vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27+3.55vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.98+3.34vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.88-1.72vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University3.47-0.77vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida3.00+0.45vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont3.41-2.21vs Predicted
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13Fordham University3.11-1.68vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin3.19-3.44vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College2.43-1.09vs Predicted
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16Cornell University2.85-3.92vs Predicted
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17Tufts University3.73-9.12vs Predicted
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18University of Michigan3.02-6.54vs Predicted
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19University of Virginia2.39-4.95vs Predicted
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20Washington College2.01-4.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.28Stanford University3.900.1%1st Place
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9.85St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.1%1st Place
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10.82U. S. Naval Academy3.170.0%1st Place
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7.66Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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8.58College of Charleston3.620.1%1st Place
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9.23Harvard University3.490.1%1st Place
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10.55Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.0%1st Place
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11.34Roger Williams University2.980.0%1st Place
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7.28Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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9.23Georgetown University3.470.1%1st Place
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11.45University of South Florida3.000.0%1st Place
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9.79University of Vermont3.410.1%1st Place
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11.32Fordham University3.110.0%1st Place
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10.56University of Wisconsin3.190.0%1st Place
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13.91Eckerd College2.430.0%1st Place
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12.08Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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7.88Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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11.46University of Michigan3.020.0%1st Place
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14.05University of Virginia2.390.0%1st Place
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15.72Washington College2.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mateo Vargas | 9.1% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Nicholas Clemence | 6.0% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.6% |
| Michael Madigan | 4.7% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 3.1% |
| Esteban Forrer | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Nick Johnstone | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Brian Drumm | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.8% |
| David Larson | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.3% |
| Stewart Draheim | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 4.4% |
| Pearson Potts | 8.2% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Sean Golden | 5.2% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Paul Perry | 4.4% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 3.9% |
| Nate Jermain | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Connor Godfrey | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.1% |
| Michael Lee | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 2.4% |
| Walker Banks | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 13.8% | 15.4% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.2% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.8% |
| Ryan Seago | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.2% |
| Christopher Craven | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 13.2% | 15.4% |
| Matthew McDermaid | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 12.7% | 30.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.