← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Old Dominion University3.82+6.65vs Predicted
-
2Stanford University3.90+5.30vs Predicted
-
3Cornell University2.85+9.23vs Predicted
-
4Georgetown University3.47+5.29vs Predicted
-
5University of Wisconsin3.19+5.49vs Predicted
-
6University of Michigan3.02+5.51vs Predicted
-
7Brown University3.88+0.76vs Predicted
-
8University of Virginia2.39+5.91vs Predicted
-
9Harvard University3.49+0.01vs Predicted
-
10Tufts University3.73-1.94vs Predicted
-
11St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34-1.06vs Predicted
-
12University of South Florida3.00-0.32vs Predicted
-
13Washington College2.01+2.94vs Predicted
-
14U. S. Naval Academy3.17-3.38vs Predicted
-
15Eckerd College2.43-1.07vs Predicted
-
16Roger Williams University2.98-4.50vs Predicted
-
17Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27-7.02vs Predicted
-
18College of Charleston3.62-9.35vs Predicted
-
19Fordham University3.11-8.03vs Predicted
-
20University of Vermont3.41-10.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.65Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
-
7.3Stanford University3.900.1%1st Place
-
12.23Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
-
9.29Georgetown University3.470.1%1st Place
-
10.49University of Wisconsin3.190.0%1st Place
-
11.51University of Michigan3.020.0%1st Place
-
7.76Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
-
13.91University of Virginia2.390.0%1st Place
-
9.01Harvard University3.490.1%1st Place
-
8.06Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
-
9.94St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.1%1st Place
-
11.68University of South Florida3.000.0%1st Place
-
15.94Washington College2.010.0%1st Place
-
10.62U. S. Naval Academy3.170.0%1st Place
-
13.93Eckerd College2.430.0%1st Place
-
11.5Roger Williams University2.980.0%1st Place
-
9.98Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.1%1st Place
-
8.65College of Charleston3.620.1%1st Place
-
10.97Fordham University3.110.0%1st Place
-
9.6University of Vermont3.410.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Esteban Forrer | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% |
| Mateo Vargas | 9.7% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 6.4% |
| Sean Golden | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.5% |
| Michael Lee | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 2.1% |
| Ryan Seago | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 3.9% |
| Pearson Potts | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Craven | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 12.8% | 14.8% |
| Brian Drumm | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Nicholas Clemence | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.4% |
| Paul Perry | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 4.6% |
| Matthew McDermaid | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 9.4% | 16.3% | 32.4% |
| Michael Madigan | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 3.6% |
| Walker Banks | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 13.4% | 16.6% |
| Stewart Draheim | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.2% |
| David Larson | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 1.8% |
| Nick Johnstone | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Connor Godfrey | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 2.8% |
| Nate Jermain | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.