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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76+4.07vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.38+1.42vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University1.29+2.69vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97+2.89vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.04-0.59vs Predicted
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6George Washington University1.24+0.94vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University0.950.00vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania1.77-3.45vs Predicted
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9Fordham University1.13-2.16vs Predicted
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10Washington College-0.68+1.17vs Predicted
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11University of Virginia0.06-1.50vs Predicted
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12Princeton University-0.32-1.69vs Predicted
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13Syracuse University-1.72-0.08vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College-0.32-3.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.07St. Mary's College of Maryland1.7610.8%1st Place
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3.42Cornell University2.3823.9%1st Place
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5.69Georgetown University1.299.0%1st Place
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6.89Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.975.8%1st Place
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4.41U. S. Naval Academy2.0413.7%1st Place
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6.94George Washington University1.245.3%1st Place
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7.0Old Dominion University0.955.7%1st Place
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4.55University of Pennsylvania1.7714.1%1st Place
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6.84Fordham University1.135.2%1st Place
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11.17Washington College-0.680.9%1st Place
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9.5University of Virginia0.062.4%1st Place
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10.31Princeton University-0.321.2%1st Place
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12.92Syracuse University-1.720.4%1st Place
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10.28SUNY Maritime College-0.321.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madison Bashaw | 10.8% | 11.9% | 12.8% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Bridget Green | 23.9% | 19.0% | 15.8% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Sailer | 9.0% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Heather Kerns | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 12.1% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 13.7% | 14.6% | 14.2% | 13.9% | 11.7% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chiara Perotti Correa | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 12.4% | 11.4% | 8.2% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Sofia Segalla | 14.1% | 12.6% | 13.9% | 13.1% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Hartley Meyer | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 11.4% | 17.8% | 26.7% | 16.4% |
| Emma Sullivan | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 13.1% | 16.0% | 15.3% | 12.8% | 3.6% |
| Carly Mraz | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 14.8% | 19.9% | 18.6% | 7.4% |
| Erin Splaine | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 7.8% | 15.0% | 63.0% |
| Morgan Essex | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 10.0% | 13.1% | 18.9% | 19.9% | 8.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.