← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Pennsylvania1.77+3.70vs Predicted
-
2Old Dominion University0.95+4.79vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Naval Academy2.04+1.26vs Predicted
-
4Cornell University2.38-0.50vs Predicted
-
5Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97+1.83vs Predicted
-
6Georgetown University1.29-0.03vs Predicted
-
7St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76-1.85vs Predicted
-
8George Washington University1.24-1.16vs Predicted
-
9Fordham University1.13-2.17vs Predicted
-
10University of Virginia0.06-0.49vs Predicted
-
11Washington College-0.68+0.13vs Predicted
-
12Princeton University-0.32-1.79vs Predicted
-
13Syracuse University-1.72+0.01vs Predicted
-
14SUNY Maritime College-0.32-3.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.7University of Pennsylvania1.7714.5%1st Place
-
6.79Old Dominion University0.955.5%1st Place
-
4.26U. S. Naval Academy2.0415.8%1st Place
-
3.5Cornell University2.3821.3%1st Place
-
6.83Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.975.2%1st Place
-
5.97Georgetown University1.298.0%1st Place
-
5.15St. Mary's College of Maryland1.7610.3%1st Place
-
6.84George Washington University1.246.9%1st Place
-
6.83Fordham University1.136.2%1st Place
-
9.51University of Virginia0.062.4%1st Place
-
11.13Washington College-0.681.0%1st Place
-
10.21Princeton University-0.321.4%1st Place
-
13.01Syracuse University-1.720.2%1st Place
-
10.26SUNY Maritime College-0.321.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sofia Segalla | 14.5% | 11.9% | 13.6% | 11.4% | 11.9% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 15.8% | 15.3% | 13.6% | 13.0% | 11.6% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bridget Green | 21.3% | 18.6% | 17.0% | 13.6% | 10.8% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Heather Kerns | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Morgan Sailer | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Madison Bashaw | 10.3% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Chiara Perotti Correa | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 12.1% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 4.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Emma Sullivan | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 14.8% | 17.7% | 12.0% | 4.2% |
| Hartley Meyer | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 7.4% | 12.4% | 17.9% | 27.0% | 14.9% |
| Carly Mraz | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 13.9% | 18.1% | 19.2% | 7.8% |
| Erin Splaine | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 15.4% | 64.0% |
| Morgan Essex | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 14.8% | 18.1% | 19.2% | 8.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.