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📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.88+6.38vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University3.82+5.62vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27+7.30vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34+5.82vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.90+2.28vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin3.19+4.71vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy3.17+3.95vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida3.00+3.19vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College2.43+4.89vs Predicted
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10Cornell University2.85+2.18vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont3.41-1.43vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.98-0.17vs Predicted
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13University of Michigan3.02-1.29vs Predicted
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14Tufts University3.73-5.99vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston3.62-6.43vs Predicted
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16Harvard University3.49-6.86vs Predicted
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17Georgetown University3.47-7.98vs Predicted
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18University of Virginia2.39-3.77vs Predicted
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19Washington College2.01-3.47vs Predicted
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20Fordham University3.11-8.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.38Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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7.62Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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10.3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.0%1st Place
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9.82St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.1%1st Place
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7.28Stanford University3.900.1%1st Place
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10.71University of Wisconsin3.190.0%1st Place
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10.95U. S. Naval Academy3.170.0%1st Place
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11.19University of South Florida3.000.0%1st Place
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13.89Eckerd College2.430.0%1st Place
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12.18Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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9.57University of Vermont3.410.1%1st Place
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11.83Roger Williams University2.980.0%1st Place
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11.71University of Michigan3.020.0%1st Place
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8.01Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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8.57College of Charleston3.620.1%1st Place
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9.14Harvard University3.490.1%1st Place
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9.02Georgetown University3.470.1%1st Place
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14.23University of Virginia2.390.0%1st Place
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15.53Washington College2.010.0%1st Place
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11.1Fordham University3.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pearson Potts | 9.0% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% |
| Esteban Forrer | 9.5% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| David Larson | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 2.1% |
| Nicholas Clemence | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 1.7% |
| Mateo Vargas | 8.2% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Michael Lee | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 2.3% |
| Michael Madigan | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 2.6% |
| Paul Perry | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.1% |
| Walker Banks | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 13.8% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 6.0% |
| Nate Jermain | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 1.7% |
| Stewart Draheim | 4.4% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 5.1% |
| Ryan Seago | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 4.6% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 7.6% | 5.8% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Nick Johnstone | 6.8% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Brian Drumm | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Sean Golden | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| Christopher Craven | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 13.1% | 17.4% |
| Matthew McDermaid | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 12.6% | 30.8% |
| Connor Godfrey | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.