Race 6A

john-quinn

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Michael Burns 31.1% 28.8% 21.3% 10.4% 5.2% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Logan Mraz 41.3% 31.8% 15.8% 7.5% 2.4% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Griffin Jones 3.5% 5.1% 8.2% 10.7% 13.4% 13.6% 15.2% 14.2% 11.3% 4.7%
Oscar Gilroy 4.0% 6.5% 9.6% 12.3% 14.0% 14.6% 14.2% 11.6% 9.6% 3.6%
Austin Latimer 5.4% 6.0% 10.2% 13.5% 14.4% 13.5% 13.5% 12.8% 8.2% 2.6%
Andrew Martin 2.3% 3.2% 4.5% 7.2% 8.5% 10.6% 12.6% 15.8% 22.1% 13.1%
Alexander Pfeffer 4.7% 7.1% 11.4% 14.6% 14.9% 14.2% 12.4% 9.8% 7.8% 3.0%
Benjamin Koly 2.6% 4.3% 7.3% 8.9% 11.2% 12.6% 13.8% 14.9% 17.7% 6.6%
Julia Marich 0.9% 0.7% 1.5% 2.7% 2.4% 3.4% 4.3% 8.1% 12.8% 63.1%
Imogene Nuss 4.0% 6.4% 10.0% 12.1% 13.8% 14.5% 12.8% 12.4% 10.6% 3.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.