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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Victoria2.65+1.85vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University2.21+1.71vs Predicted
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3University of Victoria1.79+1.45vs Predicted
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4University of Washington1.76+0.57vs Predicted
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6University of Washington1.69-1.31vs Predicted
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8University of Puget Sound1.26-2.61vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University2.20-5.22vs Predicted
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11University of Puget Sound0.55-4.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.85University of Victoria2.650.3%1st Place
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3.71Western Washington University2.210.2%1st Place
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4.45University of Victoria1.790.1%1st Place
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4.57University of Washington1.760.1%1st Place
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4.69University of Washington1.690.1%1st Place
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5.39University of Puget Sound1.260.1%1st Place
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3.78Western Washington University2.200.2%1st Place
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6.56University of Puget Sound0.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neil Hawkes | 28.4% | 22.7% | 17.2% | 12.8% | 9.8% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| Peter McGrath | 15.9% | 18.3% | 15.1% | 15.8% | 13.2% | 11.4% | 7.3% | 3.0% |
| Robert Berry | 11.1% | 11.0% | 14.1% | 12.7% | 15.0% | 15.9% | 13.1% | 7.1% |
| Christopher Fuller | 9.8% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 13.6% | 16.2% | 14.8% | 13.9% | 8.4% |
| Alyce Flanagan | 9.3% | 9.4% | 13.4% | 12.9% | 15.8% | 13.3% | 16.6% | 9.3% |
| Mike Knape | 7.1% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 15.8% | 18.8% | 20.7% |
| Casey Pruitt | 16.2% | 16.5% | 15.8% | 15.9% | 11.9% | 11.7% | 8.1% | 3.9% |
| John Elam | 2.2% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 11.8% | 19.5% | 46.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.