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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech0.97+1.08vs Predicted
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2Penn State University-1.01+3.23vs Predicted
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3William and Mary-0.27+0.86vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.13-0.60vs Predicted
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5American University-0.66-0.57vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland-0.67-1.44vs Predicted
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7Catholic University of America-1.85-0.91vs Predicted
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8University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.43-1.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.08Virginia Tech0.9742.6%1st Place
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5.23Penn State University-1.015.5%1st Place
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3.86William and Mary-0.2712.7%1st Place
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3.4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.1316.2%1st Place
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4.43American University-0.668.6%1st Place
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4.56University of Maryland-0.677.1%1st Place
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6.09Catholic University of America-1.853.7%1st Place
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6.36University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.433.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachary Bender | 42.6% | 27.0% | 16.1% | 9.8% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Mascia | 5.5% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 12.4% | 14.8% | 17.1% | 19.6% | 14.0% |
| Meredith Endres | 12.7% | 14.1% | 18.4% | 17.7% | 15.7% | 12.0% | 7.0% | 2.4% |
| Robert Finora | 16.2% | 20.8% | 17.8% | 17.0% | 14.3% | 8.8% | 4.3% | 0.8% |
| James Cottage | 8.6% | 11.0% | 15.6% | 14.0% | 17.8% | 16.3% | 11.2% | 5.5% |
| Charlie Bullock | 7.1% | 11.7% | 12.3% | 16.7% | 15.9% | 17.5% | 13.0% | 5.9% |
| John Anthony Caraig | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 15.2% | 22.2% | 31.6% |
| John TIS | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 11.8% | 22.6% | 39.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.