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📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.62+7.54vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34+7.85vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.90+4.48vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.49+5.13vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy3.17+5.57vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont3.41+3.59vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University3.82+0.89vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College2.43+5.74vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.85+3.08vs Predicted
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10Tufts University3.73-1.96vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.88-3.53vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27-1.55vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin3.19-2.04vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University3.47-4.82vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University2.98-3.47vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida3.00-4.58vs Predicted
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17University of Michigan3.02-5.83vs Predicted
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18University of Virginia2.39-3.74vs Predicted
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19Fordham University3.11-8.08vs Predicted
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20Washington College2.01-4.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.54College of Charleston3.620.1%1st Place
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9.85St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.1%1st Place
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7.48Stanford University3.900.1%1st Place
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9.13Harvard University3.490.1%1st Place
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10.57U. S. Naval Academy3.170.0%1st Place
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9.59University of Vermont3.410.1%1st Place
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7.89Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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13.74Eckerd College2.430.0%1st Place
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12.08Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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8.04Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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7.47Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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10.45Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.1%1st Place
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10.96University of Wisconsin3.190.0%1st Place
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9.18Georgetown University3.470.1%1st Place
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11.53Roger Williams University2.980.0%1st Place
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11.42University of South Florida3.000.0%1st Place
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11.17University of Michigan3.020.0%1st Place
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14.26University of Virginia2.390.0%1st Place
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10.92Fordham University3.110.0%1st Place
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15.72Washington College2.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Johnstone | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.0% |
| Nicholas Clemence | 6.0% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.0% |
| Mateo Vargas | 8.6% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Brian Drumm | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| Michael Madigan | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 2.3% |
| Nate Jermain | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.7% |
| Esteban Forrer | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Walker Banks | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 9.6% | 12.5% | 13.7% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 5.1% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Pearson Potts | 9.4% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| David Larson | 5.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 1.6% |
| Michael Lee | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.7% |
| Sean Golden | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| Stewart Draheim | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.0% |
| Paul Perry | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 4.6% |
| Ryan Seago | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% |
| Christopher Craven | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 12.7% | 17.9% |
| Connor Godfrey | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.1% |
| Matthew McDermaid | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 10.1% | 13.7% | 30.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.