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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.66+8.85vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.10+8.30vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.99+4.73vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+3.12vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.85+0.96vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.20-0.25vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University1.86+1.76vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.47-1.06vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.34-0.72vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College1.92-1.69vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.90-5.53vs Predicted
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12University of Wisconsin2.02-3.39vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida1.45-2.94vs Predicted
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14University of Miami2.32-6.88vs Predicted
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15Fordham University1.57-5.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.85U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.663.4%1st Place
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10.3University of Rhode Island2.103.2%1st Place
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7.73Tufts University1.996.9%1st Place
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7.12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.319.3%1st Place
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5.96Brown University2.859.7%1st Place
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5.75Yale University3.2011.0%1st Place
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8.76Roger Williams University1.864.7%1st Place
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6.94Harvard University2.477.4%1st Place
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8.28Boston College2.345.7%1st Place
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8.31Connecticut College1.925.3%1st Place
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5.47Dartmouth College2.9013.4%1st Place
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8.61University of Wisconsin2.026.6%1st Place
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10.06University of South Florida1.452.7%1st Place
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7.12University of Miami2.327.0%1st Place
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9.73Fordham University1.573.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Kickhafer | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 11.6% | 15.4% |
| Aidan naughton | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 11.9% | 17.6% |
| Samuel Merson | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 3.2% |
| Sam Bruce | 9.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 2.5% |
| Connor Nelson | 9.7% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Shawn Harvey | 11.0% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Grant Gridley | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 7.0% |
| Eli Burnes | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.9% |
| Jack DeNatale | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% |
| CJ Mckenna | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 5.5% |
| Robert Bragg | 13.4% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Christian Spencer | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.1% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 16.4% |
| Atlee Kohl | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 2.3% |
| Clayton Snyder | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 13.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.