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📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.0%
Within 2 Positions
5.0
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.90+6.24vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University3.82+5.58vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan3.02+8.39vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.49+5.16vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy3.17+5.53vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.73+2.09vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College2.43+7.26vs Predicted
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8Washington College1.81+8.10vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston3.62-0.56vs Predicted
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10Fordham University3.11+0.97vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.98+0.59vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont3.41-2.28vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University3.47-3.48vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin3.19-3.45vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27-4.85vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida3.00-4.68vs Predicted
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17University of Virginia2.39-3.02vs Predicted
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18Cornell University2.85-5.78vs Predicted
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19Brown University3.88-11.74vs Predicted
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20St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34-10.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.24Stanford University3.900.1%1st Place
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7.58Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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11.39University of Michigan3.020.0%1st Place
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9.16Harvard University3.490.1%1st Place
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10.53U. S. Naval Academy3.170.0%1st Place
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8.09Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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14.26Eckerd College2.430.0%1st Place
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16.1Washington College1.810.0%1st Place
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8.44College of Charleston3.620.1%1st Place
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10.97Fordham University3.110.0%1st Place
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11.59Roger Williams University2.980.0%1st Place
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9.72University of Vermont3.410.1%1st Place
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9.52Georgetown University3.470.1%1st Place
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10.55University of Wisconsin3.190.0%1st Place
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10.15Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.1%1st Place
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11.32University of South Florida3.000.0%1st Place
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13.98University of Virginia2.390.0%1st Place
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12.22Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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7.26Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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9.93St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mateo Vargas | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Esteban Forrer | 9.1% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Seago | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 3.0% |
| Brian Drumm | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.3% |
| Michael Madigan | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 2.1% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Walker Banks | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 13.4% | 14.8% |
| Eleanor Conroy | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 14.2% | 36.2% |
| Nick Johnstone | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Connor Godfrey | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.1% |
| Stewart Draheim | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.9% |
| Nate Jermain | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Sean Golden | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
| Michael Lee | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 2.4% |
| David Larson | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 1.9% |
| Paul Perry | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 4.0% |
| Christopher Craven | 2.4% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 12.7% | 14.7% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 5.9% |
| Pearson Potts | 8.8% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% |
| Nicholas Clemence | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.