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📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.9
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.17+9.54vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.49+7.12vs Predicted
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3Fordham University3.11+7.99vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34+5.85vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin3.19+5.48vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.73+2.04vs Predicted
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7Cornell University2.85+5.45vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College2.43+5.79vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University3.82-1.49vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27+0.19vs Predicted
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11Stanford University3.90-3.68vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont3.41-2.29vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida3.00-1.26vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University2.98-2.49vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston3.62-6.43vs Predicted
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16Georgetown University3.47-6.84vs Predicted
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17University of Michigan3.02-5.83vs Predicted
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18Brown University3.88-10.56vs Predicted
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19Washington College1.81-2.87vs Predicted
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20University of Virginia2.39-5.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.54U. S. Naval Academy3.170.0%1st Place
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9.12Harvard University3.490.1%1st Place
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10.99Fordham University3.110.0%1st Place
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9.85St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.1%1st Place
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10.48University of Wisconsin3.190.0%1st Place
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8.04Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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12.45Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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13.79Eckerd College2.430.0%1st Place
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7.51Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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10.19Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.0%1st Place
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7.32Stanford University3.900.1%1st Place
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9.71University of Vermont3.410.1%1st Place
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11.74University of South Florida3.000.0%1st Place
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11.51Roger Williams University2.980.0%1st Place
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8.57College of Charleston3.620.1%1st Place
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9.16Georgetown University3.470.1%1st Place
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11.17University of Michigan3.020.0%1st Place
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7.44Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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16.13Washington College1.810.0%1st Place
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14.27University of Virginia2.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Madigan | 4.1% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 2.4% |
| Brian Drumm | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Connor Godfrey | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.3% |
| Nicholas Clemence | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 1.6% |
| Michael Lee | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 1.4% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 5.5% |
| Walker Banks | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 13.2% | 13.7% |
| Esteban Forrer | 7.9% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| David Larson | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.4% |
| Mateo Vargas | 9.6% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Nate Jermain | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Paul Perry | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 4.5% |
| Stewart Draheim | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 4.5% |
| Nick Johnstone | 7.7% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Sean Golden | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Ryan Seago | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 3.9% |
| Pearson Potts | 7.2% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Eleanor Conroy | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 9.1% | 13.4% | 36.8% |
| Christopher Craven | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 10.8% | 13.3% | 15.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.