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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin2.02+7.69vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.66+7.82vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.99+4.76vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.45+5.92vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.34+3.25vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.85-0.06vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.90-1.62vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.20-2.14vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.47-1.98vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University1.86-1.13vs Predicted
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11University of Miami2.32-3.77vs Predicted
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12Fordham University1.57-2.40vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.10-2.82vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-7.01vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College1.92-6.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.69University of Wisconsin2.024.9%1st Place
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9.82U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.663.6%1st Place
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7.76Tufts University1.996.7%1st Place
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9.92University of South Florida1.453.4%1st Place
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8.25Boston College2.346.2%1st Place
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5.94Brown University2.8510.9%1st Place
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5.38Dartmouth College2.9012.6%1st Place
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5.86Yale University3.2010.0%1st Place
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7.02Harvard University2.478.9%1st Place
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8.87Roger Williams University1.864.7%1st Place
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7.23University of Miami2.327.8%1st Place
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9.6Fordham University1.573.8%1st Place
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10.18University of Rhode Island2.103.5%1st Place
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6.99Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.318.2%1st Place
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8.49Connecticut College1.924.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Spencer | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.4% |
| Matthew Kickhafer | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 11.8% | 15.3% |
| Samuel Merson | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 3.9% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 16.0% |
| Jack DeNatale | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.8% |
| Connor Nelson | 10.9% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Robert Bragg | 12.6% | 11.9% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% |
| Shawn Harvey | 10.0% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Eli Burnes | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.2% |
| Grant Gridley | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 7.7% |
| Atlee Kohl | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.6% |
| Clayton Snyder | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 12.3% |
| Aidan naughton | 3.5% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 12.8% | 16.9% |
| Sam Bruce | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.9% |
| CJ Mckenna | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.