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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.20+4.81vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.66+7.94vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.47+4.09vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College1.92+4.38vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.85+0.79vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.34+2.36vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.10+3.30vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University1.86+0.95vs Predicted
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9University of Miami2.32-1.97vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin2.02-1.39vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-4.04vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.99-4.13vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida1.45-3.09vs Predicted
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14Fordham University1.57-4.58vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College2.90-9.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.81Yale University3.2010.9%1st Place
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9.94U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.663.9%1st Place
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7.09Harvard University2.477.9%1st Place
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8.38Connecticut College1.925.8%1st Place
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5.79Brown University2.8512.1%1st Place
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8.36Boston College2.344.9%1st Place
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10.3University of Rhode Island2.103.4%1st Place
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8.95Roger Williams University1.864.2%1st Place
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7.03University of Miami2.328.1%1st Place
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8.61University of Wisconsin2.025.2%1st Place
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6.96Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.318.8%1st Place
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7.87Tufts University1.995.8%1st Place
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9.91University of South Florida1.453.2%1st Place
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9.42Fordham University1.574.2%1st Place
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5.57Dartmouth College2.9011.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shawn Harvey | 10.9% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% |
| Matthew Kickhafer | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 13.9% | 14.3% |
| Eli Burnes | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.2% |
| CJ Mckenna | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% |
| Connor Nelson | 12.1% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Jack DeNatale | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% |
| Aidan naughton | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 18.3% |
| Grant Gridley | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.0% |
| Atlee Kohl | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.4% |
| Christian Spencer | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 7.1% |
| Sam Bruce | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.6% |
| Samuel Merson | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 3.6% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 15.4% |
| Clayton Snyder | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 12.2% |
| Robert Bragg | 11.5% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.