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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.73+6.98vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida3.00+9.40vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University3.82+4.72vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.88+3.41vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont3.41+4.45vs Predicted
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6Stanford University3.90+1.38vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34+3.20vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan3.02+3.10vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27+1.04vs Predicted
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10Cornell University2.85+2.13vs Predicted
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11Fordham University3.11+0.06vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.98-0.23vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston3.62-4.05vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College2.43-0.10vs Predicted
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15Washington College1.81+1.05vs Predicted
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16Georgetown University3.47-6.79vs Predicted
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17U. S. Naval Academy3.17-6.61vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin3.19-7.44vs Predicted
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19Harvard University3.49-9.95vs Predicted
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20University of Virginia2.39-5.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.98Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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11.4University of South Florida3.000.0%1st Place
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7.72Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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7.41Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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9.45University of Vermont3.410.1%1st Place
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7.38Stanford University3.900.1%1st Place
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10.2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.0%1st Place
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11.1University of Michigan3.020.0%1st Place
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10.04Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.0%1st Place
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12.13Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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11.06Fordham University3.110.0%1st Place
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11.77Roger Williams University2.980.0%1st Place
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8.95College of Charleston3.620.1%1st Place
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13.9Eckerd College2.430.0%1st Place
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16.05Washington College1.810.0%1st Place
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9.21Georgetown University3.470.1%1st Place
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10.39U. S. Naval Academy3.170.0%1st Place
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10.56University of Wisconsin3.190.0%1st Place
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9.05Harvard University3.490.1%1st Place
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14.24University of Virginia2.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Paul Perry | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 4.3% |
| Esteban Forrer | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Pearson Potts | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Nate Jermain | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Mateo Vargas | 8.1% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| Nicholas Clemence | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 1.5% |
| Ryan Seago | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 3.2% |
| David Larson | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.3% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 5.6% |
| Connor Godfrey | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 3.2% |
| Stewart Draheim | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 3.5% |
| Nick Johnstone | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Walker Banks | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 15.4% |
| Eleanor Conroy | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 11.8% | 38.3% |
| Sean Golden | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Michael Madigan | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 2.6% |
| Michael Lee | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 1.7% |
| Brian Drumm | 6.8% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Christopher Craven | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 10.5% | 13.4% | 15.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.