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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.96+8.38vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.39+5.62vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.64+3.68vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.04+5.04vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.72+1.40vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin2.73+4.17vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+1.94vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida3.49-0.59vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont3.63-2.53vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College2.78-0.03vs Predicted
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11Fordham University3.52-4.00vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-1.31vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy2.90-3.64vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.07-1.00vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University3.20-6.79vs Predicted
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16Cornell University1.71-1.96vs Predicted
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17Washington College1.63-2.72vs Predicted
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18University of Virginia-0.04+0.04vs Predicted
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19University of Michigan1.85-5.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.38Harvard University2.960.0%1st Place
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7.62Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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6.68Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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9.04Tufts University3.040.0%1st Place
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6.4Stanford University3.720.1%1st Place
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10.17University of Wisconsin2.730.0%1st Place
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8.94St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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7.41University of South Florida3.490.1%1st Place
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6.47University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
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9.97Eckerd College2.780.0%1st Place
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7.0Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
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10.69Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.0%1st Place
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9.36U. S. Naval Academy2.900.1%1st Place
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13.0Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.070.0%1st Place
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8.21Old Dominion University3.200.1%1st Place
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14.04Cornell University1.710.0%1st Place
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14.28Washington College1.630.0%1st Place
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18.04University of Virginia-0.040.0%1st Place
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13.3University of Michigan1.850.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juan Perdomo | 3.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Greg Martinez | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Adams | 10.6% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Alp Rodopman | 4.7% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Oliver Toole | 9.7% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Ripkey | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 1.6% |
| John Wallace | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Christopher Stocke | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 10.6% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Robert Savoie | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Will Holz | 7.7% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Joseph Paggi | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 0.5% |
| Philip Youngberg | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Sean Burke | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 15.2% | 12.5% | 2.7% |
| Daniel LOCHNER | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Daniel Birmingham | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 13.6% | 20.0% | 7.7% |
| Alexander Smith | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 10.1% | 15.2% | 21.9% | 9.1% |
| Nicholas Baez | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 5.2% | 12.1% | 71.4% |
| Thomas Etheridge | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 12.0% | 14.4% | 14.3% | 4.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.