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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.90+4.28vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.99+5.87vs Predicted
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3Fordham University1.57+6.55vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.20+1.86vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin2.02+3.64vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.85-0.19vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University1.86+1.79vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College1.92+0.40vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.47-1.93vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.66-0.30vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida1.45-0.87vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-4.94vs Predicted
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13Boston College2.34-4.63vs Predicted
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14University of Miami2.32-6.81vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island2.10-4.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.28Dartmouth College2.9012.3%1st Place
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7.87Tufts University1.996.8%1st Place
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9.55Fordham University1.573.5%1st Place
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5.86Yale University3.2011.8%1st Place
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8.64University of Wisconsin2.025.1%1st Place
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5.81Brown University2.8511.8%1st Place
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8.79Roger Williams University1.864.7%1st Place
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8.4Connecticut College1.925.5%1st Place
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7.07Harvard University2.478.6%1st Place
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9.7U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.663.5%1st Place
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10.13University of South Florida1.453.5%1st Place
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7.06Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.317.3%1st Place
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8.37Boston College2.345.4%1st Place
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7.19University of Miami2.327.1%1st Place
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10.26University of Rhode Island2.103.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Bragg | 12.3% | 12.3% | 12.6% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Samuel Merson | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 3.6% |
| Clayton Snyder | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 12.7% |
| Shawn Harvey | 11.8% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Christian Spencer | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 6.4% |
| Connor Nelson | 11.8% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.9% |
| Grant Gridley | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 7.6% |
| CJ Mckenna | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 5.7% |
| Eli Burnes | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.5% |
| Matthew Kickhafer | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 13.9% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 12.6% | 16.3% |
| Sam Bruce | 7.3% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.1% |
| Jack DeNatale | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.3% |
| Atlee Kohl | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 1.8% |
| Aidan naughton | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 13.5% | 19.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.