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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Miami2.32+6.18vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.34+6.35vs Predicted
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3Fordham University1.57+6.50vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+3.16vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.90+0.47vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin2.02+2.85vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.20-1.26vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University1.86+0.72vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.66+0.84vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.10+0.32vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College1.92-2.64vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.85-6.09vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.99-5.41vs Predicted
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14Harvard University2.47-6.94vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida1.45-5.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.18University of Miami2.327.5%1st Place
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8.35Boston College2.345.7%1st Place
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9.5Fordham University1.574.1%1st Place
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7.16Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.317.7%1st Place
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5.47Dartmouth College2.9013.1%1st Place
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8.85University of Wisconsin2.024.5%1st Place
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5.74Yale University3.2011.6%1st Place
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8.72Roger Williams University1.865.1%1st Place
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9.84U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.663.7%1st Place
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10.32University of Rhode Island2.102.6%1st Place
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8.36Connecticut College1.925.1%1st Place
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5.91Brown University2.8510.2%1st Place
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7.59Tufts University1.997.7%1st Place
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7.06Harvard University2.478.2%1st Place
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9.95University of South Florida1.453.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlee Kohl | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.4% |
| Jack DeNatale | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 5.3% |
| Clayton Snyder | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 13.1% |
| Sam Bruce | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 1.7% |
| Robert Bragg | 13.1% | 10.8% | 12.7% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Christian Spencer | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.2% |
| Shawn Harvey | 11.6% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Grant Gridley | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.5% |
| Matthew Kickhafer | 3.7% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 11.9% | 15.6% |
| Aidan naughton | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 18.8% |
| CJ Mckenna | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 5.8% |
| Connor Nelson | 10.2% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
| Samuel Merson | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.8% |
| Eli Burnes | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 1.5% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 14.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.