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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.90+4.34vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College1.92+6.39vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.99+4.70vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.85+1.69vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.34+3.33vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.20-0.31vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin2.02+1.66vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-0.80vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.66+0.98vs Predicted
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10Fordham University1.57-0.47vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University1.86-2.14vs Predicted
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12University of Miami2.32-4.72vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.10-2.75vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida1.45-4.00vs Predicted
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15Harvard University2.47-7.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.34Dartmouth College2.9013.5%1st Place
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8.39Connecticut College1.925.7%1st Place
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7.7Tufts University1.996.3%1st Place
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5.69Brown University2.8511.6%1st Place
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8.33Boston College2.346.1%1st Place
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5.69Yale University3.2011.2%1st Place
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8.66University of Wisconsin2.025.7%1st Place
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7.2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.317.3%1st Place
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9.98U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.663.2%1st Place
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9.53Fordham University1.573.5%1st Place
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8.86Roger Williams University1.865.1%1st Place
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7.28University of Miami2.327.0%1st Place
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10.25University of Rhode Island2.103.3%1st Place
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10.0University of South Florida1.453.8%1st Place
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7.12Harvard University2.476.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Bragg | 13.5% | 12.4% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| CJ Mckenna | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.6% |
| Samuel Merson | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 3.9% |
| Connor Nelson | 11.6% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% |
| Jack DeNatale | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.1% |
| Shawn Harvey | 11.2% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| Christian Spencer | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 6.7% |
| Sam Bruce | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.3% |
| Matthew Kickhafer | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 13.3% | 14.9% |
| Clayton Snyder | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 11.6% |
| Grant Gridley | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.5% |
| Atlee Kohl | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.1% |
| Aidan naughton | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 12.7% | 18.2% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 17.2% |
| Eli Burnes | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.