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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.96+8.43vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.39+5.69vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+6.13vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.04+5.11vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.90+4.88vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida3.49+1.24vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont3.63-0.29vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University3.20+0.68vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston4.05-3.81vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.07+2.84vs Predicted
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11Stanford University3.72-4.71vs Predicted
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12Fordham University3.52-4.64vs Predicted
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13Cornell University1.71+0.92vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-3.46vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin2.73-4.78vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College2.78-5.98vs Predicted
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17Washington College1.63-2.67vs Predicted
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18University of Virginia-0.04+0.07vs Predicted
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19University of Michigan1.85-5.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.43Harvard University2.960.0%1st Place
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7.69Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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9.13St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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9.11Tufts University3.040.0%1st Place
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9.88U. S. Naval Academy2.900.0%1st Place
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7.24University of South Florida3.490.1%1st Place
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6.71University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
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8.68Old Dominion University3.200.1%1st Place
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5.19College of Charleston4.050.1%1st Place
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12.84Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.070.0%1st Place
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6.29Stanford University3.720.1%1st Place
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7.36Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
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13.92Cornell University1.710.0%1st Place
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10.54Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.0%1st Place
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10.22University of Wisconsin2.730.0%1st Place
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10.02Eckerd College2.780.0%1st Place
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14.33Washington College1.630.0%1st Place
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18.07University of Virginia-0.040.0%1st Place
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13.37University of Michigan1.850.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juan Perdomo | 3.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Greg Martinez | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| John Wallace | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Alp Rodopman | 3.5% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Philip Youngberg | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Christopher Stocke | 9.3% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 8.3% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Daniel LOCHNER | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Enrique Arathoon | 15.0% | 12.9% | 12.3% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Burke | 2.0% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 12.5% | 13.6% | 12.3% | 2.1% |
| Oliver Toole | 10.1% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% |
| Will Holz | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Birmingham | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 12.2% | 13.7% | 20.6% | 6.6% |
| Joseph Paggi | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Matthew Ripkey | 4.7% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 0.7% |
| Robert Savoie | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 0.3% |
| Alexander Smith | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 13.8% | 23.7% | 9.3% |
| Nicholas Baez | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 5.2% | 11.1% | 72.9% |
| Thomas Etheridge | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 13.1% | 14.7% | 5.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.