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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.20+4.41vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.85+3.54vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.34+4.90vs Predicted
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4University of Miami2.32+2.67vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.57+4.16vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University1.86+2.20vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-0.20vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.90-2.93vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College1.92-1.23vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.99-2.66vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida1.45-1.52vs Predicted
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12University of Wisconsin2.02-3.72vs Predicted
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13Harvard University-0.08+0.39vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.10-4.38vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.66-5.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.41Yale University3.2011.3%1st Place
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5.54Brown University2.8512.7%1st Place
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7.9Boston College2.345.3%1st Place
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6.67University of Miami2.328.9%1st Place
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9.16Fordham University1.573.9%1st Place
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8.2Roger Williams University1.865.2%1st Place
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6.8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.318.1%1st Place
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5.07Dartmouth College2.9013.7%1st Place
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7.77Connecticut College1.926.0%1st Place
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7.34Tufts University1.997.1%1st Place
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9.48University of South Florida1.454.8%1st Place
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8.28University of Wisconsin2.025.1%1st Place
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13.39Harvard University-0.080.6%1st Place
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9.62University of Rhode Island2.103.6%1st Place
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9.38U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.663.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Shawn Harvey | 11.3% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
Connor Nelson | 12.7% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
Jack DeNatale | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 1.7% |
Atlee Kohl | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 0.4% |
Clayton Snyder | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 5.3% |
Grant Gridley | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 2.5% |
Sam Bruce | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
Robert Bragg | 13.7% | 11.9% | 12.8% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
CJ Mckenna | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 1.7% |
Samuel Merson | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 1.2% |
Zachariah Schemel | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 13.8% | 6.4% |
Christian Spencer | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 2.9% |
Matthew Cabot | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 10.2% | 63.3% |
Aidan naughton | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 14.4% | 7.1% |
Matthew Kickhafer | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 6.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.