← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Tufts University3.04+8.15vs Predicted
-
2Harvard University2.96+7.57vs Predicted
-
3Brown University3.64+3.90vs Predicted
-
4Stanford University3.72+2.36vs Predicted
-
5College of Charleston4.05+0.44vs Predicted
-
6University of Vermont3.63+0.80vs Predicted
-
7University of Wisconsin2.73+3.47vs Predicted
-
8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+1.29vs Predicted
-
9Cornell University1.71+4.91vs Predicted
-
10University of South Florida3.49-2.81vs Predicted
-
11U. S. Naval Academy2.90-1.25vs Predicted
-
12Old Dominion University3.20-3.20vs Predicted
-
13Eckerd College2.78-3.04vs Predicted
-
14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-3.44vs Predicted
-
15Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.07-2.17vs Predicted
-
16Fordham University3.52-8.93vs Predicted
-
17Washington College1.63-2.61vs Predicted
-
18University of Michigan1.85-4.24vs Predicted
-
19University of Virginia-0.04-1.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
9.15Tufts University3.040.0%1st Place
-
9.57Harvard University2.960.0%1st Place
-
6.9Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
-
6.36Stanford University3.720.1%1st Place
-
5.44College of Charleston4.050.1%1st Place
-
6.8University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
-
10.47University of Wisconsin2.730.0%1st Place
-
9.29St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
-
13.91Cornell University1.710.0%1st Place
-
7.19University of South Florida3.490.1%1st Place
-
9.75U. S. Naval Academy2.900.0%1st Place
-
8.8Old Dominion University3.200.1%1st Place
-
9.96Eckerd College2.780.0%1st Place
-
10.56Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.0%1st Place
-
12.83Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.070.0%1st Place
-
7.07Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
-
14.39Washington College1.630.0%1st Place
-
13.76University of Michigan1.850.0%1st Place
-
17.81University of Virginia-0.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alp Rodopman | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Juan Perdomo | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Lucas Adams | 9.1% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Oliver Toole | 10.1% | 10.6% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Enrique Arathoon | 11.2% | 12.8% | 13.3% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 9.7% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Ripkey | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 0.6% |
| John Wallace | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Daniel Birmingham | 1.5% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 14.1% | 19.7% | 7.4% |
| Christopher Stocke | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Philip Youngberg | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 0.2% |
| Daniel LOCHNER | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Robert Savoie | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 0.2% |
| Joseph Paggi | 4.3% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Sean Burke | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 13.7% | 4.4% |
| Will Holz | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Smith | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 14.4% | 23.7% | 9.0% |
| Thomas Etheridge | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 11.4% | 13.7% | 15.1% | 7.3% |
| Nicholas Baez | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 6.9% | 10.9% | 69.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.