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📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.39+6.99vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.04+7.52vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.64+4.15vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida3.49+3.59vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+4.66vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.96+3.70vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University3.20+1.75vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston4.05-2.28vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.90+0.89vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont3.63-3.12vs Predicted
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11Cornell University1.71+3.47vs Predicted
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12Stanford University3.72-5.08vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College2.78-2.73vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin2.73-3.16vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-4.37vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan1.85-2.11vs Predicted
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17Fordham University3.52-9.52vs Predicted
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18Washington College1.63-3.25vs Predicted
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19University of Virginia-0.04-1.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.99Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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9.52Tufts University3.040.0%1st Place
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7.15Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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7.59University of South Florida3.490.1%1st Place
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9.66St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.0%1st Place
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9.7Harvard University2.960.1%1st Place
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8.75Old Dominion University3.200.1%1st Place
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5.72College of Charleston4.050.1%1st Place
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9.89U. S. Naval Academy2.900.0%1st Place
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6.88University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
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14.47Cornell University1.710.0%1st Place
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6.92Stanford University3.720.1%1st Place
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10.27Eckerd College2.780.0%1st Place
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10.84University of Wisconsin2.730.0%1st Place
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10.63Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.0%1st Place
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13.89University of Michigan1.850.0%1st Place
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7.48Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
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14.75Washington College1.630.0%1st Place
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17.91University of Virginia-0.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greg Martinez | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Alp Rodopman | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Lucas Adams | 9.5% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Stocke | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| John Wallace | 3.8% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Juan Perdomo | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 2.6% | 0.3% |
| Daniel LOCHNER | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Enrique Arathoon | 12.4% | 11.9% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Philip Youngberg | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 0.9% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 8.0% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Birmingham | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 10.3% | 17.3% | 21.9% | 7.6% |
| Oliver Toole | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Robert Savoie | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 0.4% |
| Matthew Ripkey | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 3.1% | 0.5% |
| Joseph Paggi | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 1.1% |
| Thomas Etheridge | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 12.4% | 14.6% | 19.0% | 5.4% |
| Will Holz | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Alexander Smith | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 13.0% | 24.6% | 10.5% |
| Nicholas Baez | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 6.5% | 10.4% | 72.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.