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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.90+4.06vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+4.77vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin2.02+5.34vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.85+1.62vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.34+2.82vs Predicted
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6University of Miami2.32+0.76vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College1.92+0.78vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida1.45+1.39vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.99-1.76vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.20-4.46vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.66-1.57vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.10-2.38vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University1.86-4.82vs Predicted
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14Harvard University-0.08-0.67vs Predicted
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15Fordham University1.57-5.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.06Dartmouth College2.9015.4%1st Place
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6.77Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.317.4%1st Place
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8.34University of Wisconsin2.026.1%1st Place
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5.62Brown University2.8511.5%1st Place
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7.82Boston College2.346.2%1st Place
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6.76University of Miami2.328.0%1st Place
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7.78Connecticut College1.927.0%1st Place
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9.39University of South Florida1.452.9%1st Place
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7.24Tufts University1.997.1%1st Place
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5.54Yale University3.2011.2%1st Place
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9.43U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.663.6%1st Place
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9.62University of Rhode Island2.103.2%1st Place
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8.18Roger Williams University1.865.3%1st Place
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13.33Harvard University-0.080.9%1st Place
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9.12Fordham University1.574.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Bragg | 15.4% | 12.7% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Sam Bruce | 7.4% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Christian Spencer | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 2.9% |
| Connor Nelson | 11.5% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Jack DeNatale | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 2.1% |
| Atlee Kohl | 8.0% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 0.4% |
| CJ Mckenna | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 1.8% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 2.9% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 13.5% | 6.0% |
| Samuel Merson | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 1.2% |
| Shawn Harvey | 11.2% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Kickhafer | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 13.0% | 6.7% |
| Aidan naughton | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 13.3% | 8.1% |
| Grant Gridley | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 2.6% |
| Matthew Cabot | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 11.4% | 61.9% |
| Clayton Snyder | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 5.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.