← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.5
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1College of Charleston3.78+0.87vs Predicted
-
2University of South Florida3.29+0.26vs Predicted
-
3Eckerd College3.00-0.42vs Predicted
-
4University of Florida1.59-0.06vs Predicted
-
5University of Miami1.09-0.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.87College of Charleston3.780.5%1st Place
-
2.26University of South Florida3.290.3%1st Place
-
2.58Eckerd College3.000.2%1st Place
-
3.94University of Florida1.590.0%1st Place
-
4.35University of Miami1.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shannon Heausler | 45.3% | 30.5% | 16.8% | 6.9% | 0.5% |
| Abby Featherstone | 28.3% | 30.8% | 28.8% | 10.5% | 1.6% |
| Charlotte Dorris | 20.2% | 25.7% | 33.0% | 17.9% | 3.2% |
| Michelle Thomas | 3.8% | 7.3% | 13.8% | 41.1% | 34.0% |
| Amy Gaylord | 2.4% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 23.6% | 60.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.