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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech0.97+1.05vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.13+1.47vs Predicted
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3University of Maryland-0.67+1.49vs Predicted
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4Catholic University of America-1.85+1.99vs Predicted
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5William and Mary-0.27-1.11vs Predicted
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6American University-0.66-1.50vs Predicted
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7Penn State University-1.01-1.75vs Predicted
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8University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.43-1.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.05Virginia Tech0.9743.8%1st Place
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3.47U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.1316.3%1st Place
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4.49University of Maryland-0.677.7%1st Place
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5.99Catholic University of America-1.853.0%1st Place
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3.89William and Mary-0.2711.9%1st Place
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4.5American University-0.668.2%1st Place
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5.25Penn State University-1.015.9%1st Place
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6.37University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.433.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachary Bender | 43.8% | 27.7% | 15.0% | 8.5% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Robert Finora | 16.3% | 18.7% | 18.9% | 17.4% | 12.6% | 9.9% | 5.0% | 1.3% |
| Charlie Bullock | 7.7% | 11.1% | 13.7% | 17.0% | 17.2% | 15.7% | 12.0% | 5.8% |
| John Anthony Caraig | 3.0% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 13.9% | 23.8% | 28.5% |
| Meredith Endres | 11.9% | 15.4% | 17.3% | 17.4% | 16.0% | 11.8% | 7.4% | 2.8% |
| James Cottage | 8.2% | 11.8% | 13.5% | 14.9% | 15.4% | 17.5% | 13.1% | 5.5% |
| Nathan Mascia | 5.9% | 6.9% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 15.4% | 18.2% | 18.0% | 15.2% |
| John TIS | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 11.9% | 20.4% | 40.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.