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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.85+4.51vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.20+3.36vs Predicted
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3University of Miami2.32+3.76vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College1.92+3.86vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.66+4.51vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.90-0.95vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-0.44vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.10+1.94vs Predicted
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9University of Wisconsin2.02-0.84vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida1.45-0.64vs Predicted
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11Fordham University1.57-1.80vs Predicted
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12Boston College2.34-4.12vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.99-5.80vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University1.86-5.60vs Predicted
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15Harvard University-0.08-1.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.51Brown University2.8512.4%1st Place
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5.36Yale University3.2012.9%1st Place
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6.76University of Miami2.327.4%1st Place
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7.86Connecticut College1.925.8%1st Place
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9.51U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.663.2%1st Place
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5.05Dartmouth College2.9014.4%1st Place
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6.56Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.318.5%1st Place
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9.94University of Rhode Island2.103.5%1st Place
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8.16University of Wisconsin2.025.9%1st Place
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9.36University of South Florida1.453.1%1st Place
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9.2Fordham University1.573.8%1st Place
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7.88Boston College2.346.3%1st Place
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7.2Tufts University1.997.4%1st Place
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8.4Roger Williams University1.864.3%1st Place
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13.25Harvard University-0.080.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Nelson | 12.4% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Shawn Harvey | 12.9% | 12.3% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Atlee Kohl | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| CJ Mckenna | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 2.0% |
| Matthew Kickhafer | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 7.2% |
| Robert Bragg | 14.4% | 13.0% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Sam Bruce | 8.5% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Aidan naughton | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 15.0% | 8.9% |
| Christian Spencer | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 2.2% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 5.7% |
| Clayton Snyder | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 5.7% |
| Jack DeNatale | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 1.7% |
| Samuel Merson | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 1.1% |
| Grant Gridley | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 3.2% |
| Matthew Cabot | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 10.7% | 61.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.