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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.96+8.44vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.64+4.77vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston4.05+2.31vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.39+3.64vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.90+4.90vs Predicted
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6Stanford University3.72+0.34vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.04+2.08vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida3.49-0.48vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+1.16vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-1.03vs Predicted
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11Fordham University3.52-3.88vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College2.78-1.51vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University3.20-4.83vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.07-0.94vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin2.73-4.80vs Predicted
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16Cornell University1.71-1.92vs Predicted
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17Washington College1.63-2.66vs Predicted
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18University of Virginia-0.04+0.05vs Predicted
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19University of Michigan1.85-5.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.44Harvard University2.960.0%1st Place
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6.77Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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5.31College of Charleston4.050.1%1st Place
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7.64Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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9.9U. S. Naval Academy2.900.0%1st Place
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6.34Stanford University3.720.1%1st Place
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9.08Tufts University3.040.1%1st Place
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7.52University of South Florida3.490.1%1st Place
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10.16Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.0%1st Place
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8.97St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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7.12Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
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10.49Eckerd College2.780.0%1st Place
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8.17Old Dominion University3.200.1%1st Place
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13.06Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.070.0%1st Place
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10.2University of Wisconsin2.730.0%1st Place
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14.08Cornell University1.710.0%1st Place
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14.34Washington College1.630.0%1st Place
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18.05University of Virginia-0.040.0%1st Place
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13.37University of Michigan1.850.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juan Perdomo | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Lucas Adams | 9.1% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Enrique Arathoon | 14.8% | 12.6% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Greg Martinez | 6.0% | 9.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Philip Youngberg | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Oliver Toole | 12.0% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Alp Rodopman | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Christopher Stocke | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Joseph Paggi | 4.3% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| John Wallace | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Will Holz | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Robert Savoie | 3.3% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Daniel LOCHNER | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Sean Burke | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 14.6% | 13.2% | 2.7% |
| Matthew Ripkey | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 0.5% |
| Daniel Birmingham | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 12.1% | 19.3% | 8.1% |
| Alexander Smith | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 10.5% | 14.2% | 22.4% | 9.2% |
| Nicholas Baez | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 5.6% | 11.7% | 71.5% |
| Thomas Etheridge | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 11.4% | 14.8% | 13.8% | 5.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.