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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.90+4.41vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.10+8.44vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.86+5.74vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.20+1.73vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College1.92+3.26vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.85-0.26vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.66+2.80vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.34+0.35vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.99-1.24vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.10-2.45vs Predicted
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11University of Wisconsin2.02-2.24vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida1.45-2.06vs Predicted
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13University of Miami2.32-5.73vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-7.11vs Predicted
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15Fordham University1.57-5.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.41Dartmouth College2.9013.6%1st Place
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10.44University of Rhode Island2.102.6%1st Place
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8.74Roger Williams University1.865.8%1st Place
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5.73Yale University3.2012.1%1st Place
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8.26Connecticut College1.925.9%1st Place
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5.74Brown University2.8512.3%1st Place
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9.8U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.664.0%1st Place
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8.35Boston College2.345.3%1st Place
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7.76Tufts University1.996.0%1st Place
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7.55Harvard University2.107.4%1st Place
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8.76University of Wisconsin2.024.8%1st Place
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9.94University of South Florida1.453.4%1st Place
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7.27University of Miami2.325.5%1st Place
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6.89Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.317.2%1st Place
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9.36Fordham University1.574.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Bragg | 13.6% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Aidan naughton | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 13.8% | 18.7% |
| Grant Gridley | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.0% |
| Shawn Harvey | 12.1% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| CJ Mckenna | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.3% |
| Connor Nelson | 12.3% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Matthew Kickhafer | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 15.2% |
| Jack DeNatale | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.0% |
| Samuel Merson | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 3.6% |
| Cordelia Burn | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 2.7% |
| Christian Spencer | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 12.2% | 15.4% |
| Atlee Kohl | 5.5% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.4% |
| Sam Bruce | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 2.1% |
| Clayton Snyder | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 11.6% | 11.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.