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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.20+4.76vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.34+6.18vs Predicted
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3University of Miami2.32+4.07vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.99+3.70vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin2.02+3.70vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College1.92+2.38vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.85-1.16vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.66+1.94vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.90-3.52vs Predicted
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10Fordham University1.57-0.60vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-4.06vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida1.45-2.10vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.10-2.77vs Predicted
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14Harvard University2.10-6.28vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University1.86-6.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.76Yale University3.2011.7%1st Place
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8.18Boston College2.346.2%1st Place
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7.07University of Miami2.327.6%1st Place
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7.7Tufts University1.996.3%1st Place
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8.7University of Wisconsin2.025.2%1st Place
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8.38Connecticut College1.925.1%1st Place
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5.84Brown University2.8510.7%1st Place
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9.94U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.663.5%1st Place
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5.48Dartmouth College2.9012.4%1st Place
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9.4Fordham University1.574.2%1st Place
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6.94Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.318.6%1st Place
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9.9University of South Florida1.452.9%1st Place
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10.23University of Rhode Island2.102.6%1st Place
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7.72Harvard University2.107.2%1st Place
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8.75Roger Williams University1.865.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shawn Harvey | 11.7% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Jack DeNatale | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% |
| Atlee Kohl | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 2.3% |
| Samuel Merson | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 2.6% |
| Christian Spencer | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 7.3% |
| CJ Mckenna | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 5.9% |
| Connor Nelson | 10.7% | 12.9% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Matthew Kickhafer | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 12.2% | 15.2% |
| Robert Bragg | 12.4% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Clayton Snyder | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 11.6% |
| Sam Bruce | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.5% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 11.7% | 15.4% |
| Aidan naughton | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 18.7% |
| Cordelia Burn | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 4.0% |
| Grant Gridley | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.