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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.96+8.30vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.39+5.68vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida3.49+4.39vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+4.96vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston4.05+0.40vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.64+0.70vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont3.63-0.31vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.90+1.77vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+0.98vs Predicted
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10Fordham University3.52-3.01vs Predicted
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11Stanford University3.72-4.67vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University3.20-3.36vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.07-0.58vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin2.73-3.73vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College2.78-5.13vs Predicted
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16Cornell University1.71-2.33vs Predicted
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17Washington College1.63-3.12vs Predicted
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18University of Virginia-0.04-0.72vs Predicted
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19University of Michigan-2.46-0.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.3Harvard University2.960.0%1st Place
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7.68Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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7.39University of South Florida3.490.1%1st Place
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8.96St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.0%1st Place
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5.4College of Charleston4.050.1%1st Place
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6.7Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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6.69University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
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9.77U. S. Naval Academy2.900.0%1st Place
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9.98Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.0%1st Place
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6.99Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
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6.33Stanford University3.720.1%1st Place
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8.64Old Dominion University3.200.1%1st Place
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12.42Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.070.0%1st Place
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10.27University of Wisconsin2.730.0%1st Place
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9.87Eckerd College2.780.1%1st Place
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13.67Cornell University1.710.0%1st Place
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13.88Washington College1.630.0%1st Place
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17.28University of Virginia-0.040.0%1st Place
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18.79University of Michigan-2.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juan Perdomo | 3.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Greg Martinez | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Stocke | 7.8% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Wallace | 4.4% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Enrique Arathoon | 11.2% | 13.2% | 12.3% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Adams | 11.3% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Philip Youngberg | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Paggi | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Will Holz | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Toole | 9.1% | 9.1% | 11.7% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Daniel LOCHNER | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sean Burke | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 12.3% | 14.9% | 14.9% | 3.5% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Ripkey | 3.9% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 4.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Robert Savoie | 5.1% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Daniel Birmingham | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 10.5% | 16.1% | 22.9% | 8.9% | 0.1% |
| Alexander Smith | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 9.9% | 15.2% | 25.2% | 11.1% | 0.2% |
| Nicholas Baez | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 5.8% | 11.0% | 64.7% | 9.2% |
| Hubbard Velie | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 7.5% | 90.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.