Race 13A

thompson-throphy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Robert Bragg 12.2% 12.2% 12.0% 10.1% 9.8% 8.6% 7.3% 6.6% 5.5% 5.3% 4.1% 2.9% 2.1% 0.9% 0.4%
Connor Nelson 10.7% 11.8% 10.9% 9.5% 9.6% 8.6% 8.9% 6.3% 6.3% 5.7% 4.0% 3.0% 2.1% 1.8% 0.5%
Atlee Kohl 7.4% 7.6% 9.0% 7.2% 7.1% 7.5% 7.1% 8.3% 8.2% 6.7% 5.7% 5.5% 5.8% 4.6% 2.1%
Matthew Kickhafer 3.9% 3.6% 2.6% 4.5% 4.7% 4.4% 4.5% 5.4% 6.2% 7.4% 7.4% 8.9% 9.7% 12.1% 14.5%
Shawn Harvey 11.5% 11.8% 10.9% 10.4% 9.2% 8.2% 6.5% 8.0% 6.5% 4.5% 4.2% 4.0% 2.5% 1.4% 0.4%
Aidan naughton 3.2% 3.2% 3.6% 3.6% 3.6% 4.6% 5.4% 5.4% 5.3% 5.9% 6.4% 8.6% 9.5% 11.6% 19.9%
Cordelia Burn 7.4% 6.2% 6.7% 7.1% 7.2% 7.5% 7.4% 5.8% 6.6% 7.8% 8.3% 7.0% 7.0% 5.1% 2.9%
Clayton Snyder 3.6% 4.1% 3.8% 4.7% 4.2% 5.8% 6.2% 6.3% 5.9% 6.9% 7.8% 9.2% 7.6% 11.6% 12.4%
Sam Bruce 7.8% 7.8% 8.1% 8.6% 8.0% 8.0% 7.3% 8.0% 8.1% 6.9% 6.2% 5.4% 4.5% 3.1% 2.4%
Christian Spencer 5.0% 4.6% 5.3% 5.1% 6.8% 5.5% 6.2% 6.6% 7.5% 7.4% 8.1% 7.9% 8.4% 7.9% 7.7%
Samuel Merson 7.5% 6.2% 6.7% 7.4% 7.6% 6.8% 7.0% 7.8% 7.6% 6.9% 7.3% 6.5% 6.3% 5.5% 3.1%
CJ Mckenna 5.5% 5.8% 6.7% 5.9% 5.9% 7.1% 8.0% 6.2% 7.5% 7.0% 7.6% 7.1% 7.3% 6.6% 5.8%
Grant Gridley 5.0% 5.5% 5.1% 5.9% 5.2% 6.2% 6.1% 5.8% 5.9% 7.3% 8.2% 8.3% 9.2% 8.8% 7.4%
Zachariah Schemel 4.0% 3.5% 3.7% 3.6% 4.2% 4.0% 5.6% 5.7% 5.9% 7.5% 6.8% 8.6% 10.5% 11.8% 14.7%
Jack DeNatale 5.5% 6.0% 4.9% 6.3% 7.0% 7.2% 6.3% 8.0% 7.0% 6.9% 7.8% 7.0% 7.4% 7.1% 5.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.