← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Georgetown University3.39+6.51vs Predicted
-
2College of Charleston4.05+3.26vs Predicted
-
3Harvard University2.96+6.36vs Predicted
-
4Stanford University3.72+2.27vs Predicted
-
5University of South Florida3.49+2.37vs Predicted
-
6University of Vermont3.63+0.61vs Predicted
-
7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+1.89vs Predicted
-
8Tufts University3.04+1.16vs Predicted
-
9U. S. Naval Academy2.90+0.27vs Predicted
-
10Brown University3.64-3.54vs Predicted
-
11Old Dominion University3.20-2.81vs Predicted
-
12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-1.43vs Predicted
-
13Eckerd College2.78-3.28vs Predicted
-
14University of Wisconsin2.73-3.79vs Predicted
-
15Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.07-2.60vs Predicted
-
16Washington College1.63-2.09vs Predicted
-
17University of Virginia-0.04+0.17vs Predicted
-
18Cornell University1.97-5.13vs Predicted
-
19University of Michigan-2.46-0.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.51Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
-
5.26College of Charleston4.050.1%1st Place
-
9.36Harvard University2.960.1%1st Place
-
6.27Stanford University3.720.1%1st Place
-
7.37University of South Florida3.490.1%1st Place
-
6.61University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
-
8.89St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
-
9.16Tufts University3.040.1%1st Place
-
9.27U. S. Naval Academy2.900.1%1st Place
-
6.46Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
-
8.19Old Dominion University3.200.1%1st Place
-
10.57Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.0%1st Place
-
9.72Eckerd College2.780.0%1st Place
-
10.21University of Wisconsin2.730.0%1st Place
-
12.4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.070.0%1st Place
-
13.91Washington College1.630.0%1st Place
-
17.17University of Virginia-0.040.0%1st Place
-
12.87Cornell University1.970.0%1st Place
-
18.8University of Michigan-2.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greg Martinez | 5.6% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Enrique Arathoon | 14.5% | 12.3% | 13.9% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Juan Perdomo | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Toole | 10.2% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Stocke | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 10.2% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Wallace | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Alp Rodopman | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Philip Youngberg | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Adams | 9.1% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel LOCHNER | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Paggi | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Robert Savoie | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 3.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Ripkey | 4.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 4.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Burke | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 10.8% | 15.3% | 16.2% | 4.8% | 0.2% |
| Alexander Smith | 1.0% | 0.8% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 14.8% | 27.7% | 10.4% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Baez | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 4.9% | 9.1% | 66.8% | 8.5% |
| Quinn Howes | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 11.4% | 13.6% | 17.2% | 5.6% | 0.2% |
| Hubbard Velie | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 6.7% | 91.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.