Race 15A

thompson-throphy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Jack DeNatale 7.1% 6.2% 6.9% 5.9% 6.8% 7.2% 7.9% 7.1% 7.1% 8.3% 8.6% 7.6% 7.6% 5.6%
Clayton Snyder 4.7% 4.8% 4.1% 5.6% 6.4% 6.0% 5.2% 6.8% 7.3% 8.0% 9.0% 8.9% 11.0% 12.2%
Robert Bragg 14.8% 11.1% 11.7% 11.9% 9.0% 8.2% 9.2% 6.4% 6.0% 4.8% 3.1% 2.1% 1.5% 0.3%
Samuel Merson 5.9% 7.4% 7.0% 9.0% 7.0% 8.5% 7.8% 8.3% 7.7% 7.8% 7.5% 6.3% 6.1% 3.6%
Matthew Kickhafer 4.2% 4.1% 4.8% 4.0% 5.1% 5.3% 5.9% 7.5% 6.7% 7.5% 7.5% 11.0% 12.2% 14.2%
Connor Nelson 11.5% 12.6% 11.8% 9.9% 10.0% 8.9% 7.4% 6.5% 7.0% 5.5% 4.2% 2.6% 1.7% 0.5%
CJ Mckenna 5.6% 7.2% 6.8% 5.7% 7.0% 7.4% 6.5% 8.1% 7.2% 8.1% 8.1% 9.0% 7.0% 6.4%
Shawn Harvey 12.1% 12.8% 9.9% 10.0% 9.0% 9.3% 8.5% 7.1% 6.5% 5.1% 4.3% 2.8% 1.7% 0.8%
Grant Gridley 5.5% 5.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.6% 6.4% 8.2% 7.6% 8.3% 8.1% 8.0% 8.2% 9.3% 8.0%
Aidan naughton 3.1% 3.5% 4.6% 4.2% 4.5% 5.1% 4.4% 5.9% 5.4% 6.9% 9.7% 10.5% 11.8% 20.5%
Christian Spencer 4.5% 5.1% 5.0% 6.4% 5.8% 5.9% 7.5% 6.9% 8.1% 8.2% 8.5% 10.0% 11.0% 7.4%
Atlee Kohl 8.0% 8.5% 9.2% 7.9% 8.9% 8.5% 8.2% 7.8% 7.3% 7.3% 5.8% 5.2% 4.5% 2.8%
Zachariah Schemel 4.0% 2.8% 4.8% 4.8% 5.1% 5.2% 5.5% 5.8% 7.4% 8.0% 9.0% 10.6% 10.9% 15.9%
Sam Bruce 9.2% 8.5% 8.6% 9.2% 8.9% 7.8% 7.6% 8.2% 7.9% 6.7% 6.8% 5.1% 3.8% 1.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.