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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.12+6.78vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.15+7.34vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.19+7.42vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.92+0.97vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17+1.39vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.77+1.30vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.66+2.15vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.14-0.70vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.38-2.89vs Predicted
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10Fordham University1.98-1.98vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University1.69-1.71vs Predicted
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12University of Wisconsin1.60-3.79vs Predicted
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13University of Miami1.93-5.25vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College1.37-4.21vs Predicted
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15Brown University1.78-6.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.78Harvard University2.125.9%1st Place
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9.34Tufts University2.154.8%1st Place
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10.42University of South Florida1.192.8%1st Place
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4.97Yale University2.9214.7%1st Place
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6.39U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.179.4%1st Place
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7.3University of Rhode Island1.777.3%1st Place
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9.15Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.664.8%1st Place
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7.3Boston College2.147.5%1st Place
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6.11Dartmouth College2.3810.2%1st Place
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8.02Fordham University1.987.1%1st Place
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9.29Roger Williams University1.694.1%1st Place
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8.21University of Wisconsin1.605.5%1st Place
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7.75University of Miami1.936.6%1st Place
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9.79Connecticut College1.373.8%1st Place
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8.18Brown University1.785.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Ascencios | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 3.3% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 11.6% |
| Humberto Porrata | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 12.5% | 20.4% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 14.7% | 14.0% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Daniel Unangst | 9.4% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.3% |
| Parker Colantuono | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 2.6% |
| John Ped | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 10.3% |
| Robert Hunter | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.6% |
| William Michels | 10.2% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| Porter Kavle | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 4.5% |
| John Walton | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 11.2% | 10.6% |
| Jonathan Bailey | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% |
| Aidan Dennis | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.0% |
| William Bedford | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 14.4% |
| Hunter Zonnenberg | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.