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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.15+8.40vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.77+5.51vs Predicted
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3University of Miami1.93+4.65vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin1.60+4.31vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.14+2.50vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.12+1.69vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.78+1.29vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.66+1.08vs Predicted
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9Yale University2.92-4.00vs Predicted
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10Fordham University1.98-2.01vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College1.37-1.21vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University1.69-2.65vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17-6.85vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College2.38-8.01vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida1.19-4.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.4Tufts University2.154.5%1st Place
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7.51University of Rhode Island1.776.2%1st Place
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7.65University of Miami1.937.0%1st Place
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8.31University of Wisconsin1.605.1%1st Place
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7.5Boston College2.147.4%1st Place
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7.69Harvard University2.126.7%1st Place
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8.29Brown University1.785.3%1st Place
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9.08Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.664.7%1st Place
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5.0Yale University2.9215.9%1st Place
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7.99Fordham University1.985.9%1st Place
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9.79Connecticut College1.373.0%1st Place
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9.35Roger Williams University1.694.0%1st Place
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6.15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.1710.5%1st Place
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5.99Dartmouth College2.3810.2%1st Place
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10.3University of South Florida1.193.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ansgar Jordan | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 10.8% |
| Parker Colantuono | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 2.5% |
| Aidan Dennis | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.5% |
| Jonathan Bailey | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.2% |
| Robert Hunter | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.3% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 3.2% |
| Hunter Zonnenberg | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 5.3% |
| John Ped | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 9.8% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 15.9% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Porter Kavle | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% |
| William Bedford | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 15.1% |
| John Walton | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 11.7% |
| Daniel Unangst | 10.5% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| William Michels | 10.2% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% |
| Humberto Porrata | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 12.2% | 21.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.