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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.72+5.45vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont3.63+4.83vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+6.09vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.39+3.64vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University3.20+3.62vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.64+0.76vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.96+2.42vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida3.49-0.46vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+1.10vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston4.05-4.84vs Predicted
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11University of Wisconsin2.73-0.76vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy2.90-2.04vs Predicted
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13Fordham University3.52-6.07vs Predicted
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14Tufts University3.04-4.85vs Predicted
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15Cornell University1.71-1.41vs Predicted
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16Washington College1.63-2.05vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.07-4.49vs Predicted
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18University of Virginia-0.04-0.72vs Predicted
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19University of Michigan-2.46-0.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.45Stanford University3.720.1%1st Place
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6.83University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
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9.09St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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7.64Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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8.62Old Dominion University3.200.0%1st Place
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6.76Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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9.42Harvard University2.960.0%1st Place
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7.54University of South Florida3.490.1%1st Place
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10.1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.0%1st Place
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5.16College of Charleston4.050.1%1st Place
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10.24University of Wisconsin2.730.0%1st Place
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9.96U. S. Naval Academy2.900.0%1st Place
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6.93Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
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9.15Tufts University3.040.1%1st Place
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13.59Cornell University1.710.0%1st Place
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13.95Washington College1.630.0%1st Place
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12.51Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.070.0%1st Place
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17.28University of Virginia-0.040.0%1st Place
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18.79University of Michigan-2.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oliver Toole | 8.9% | 11.2% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Wallace | 5.1% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Greg Martinez | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel LOCHNER | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 3.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Adams | 10.5% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Juan Perdomo | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Stocke | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Paggi | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 4.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Enrique Arathoon | 13.9% | 13.8% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Ripkey | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Philip Youngberg | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Will Holz | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alp Rodopman | 5.7% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Birmingham | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 14.9% | 24.4% | 8.7% | 0.5% |
| Alexander Smith | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 12.2% | 14.7% | 24.7% | 10.7% | 0.1% |
| Sean Burke | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 12.8% | 15.1% | 16.1% | 3.8% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Baez | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 11.4% | 64.9% | 9.2% |
| Hubbard Velie | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 7.2% | 90.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.