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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.14+6.37vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17+4.31vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.77+4.44vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin1.60+4.27vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.19+5.13vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.15+3.49vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.38-1.05vs Predicted
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8Yale University2.92-3.03vs Predicted
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9Fordham University1.98-0.79vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.66-0.93vs Predicted
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11Brown University1.78-2.71vs Predicted
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12University of Miami1.93-4.14vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University1.69-3.78vs Predicted
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14Harvard University2.12-6.14vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College1.37-5.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.37Boston College2.147.5%1st Place
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6.31U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.179.3%1st Place
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7.44University of Rhode Island1.777.9%1st Place
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8.27University of Wisconsin1.606.0%1st Place
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10.13University of South Florida1.193.8%1st Place
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9.49Tufts University2.153.8%1st Place
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5.95Dartmouth College2.3811.6%1st Place
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4.97Yale University2.9214.8%1st Place
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8.21Fordham University1.984.5%1st Place
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9.07Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.663.8%1st Place
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8.29Brown University1.785.3%1st Place
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7.86University of Miami1.936.2%1st Place
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9.22Roger Williams University1.694.6%1st Place
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7.86Harvard University2.126.7%1st Place
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9.56Connecticut College1.374.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Hunter | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.9% |
| Daniel Unangst | 9.3% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
| Parker Colantuono | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 2.9% |
| Jonathan Bailey | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% |
| Humberto Porrata | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 11.7% | 19.1% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 12.4% |
| William Michels | 11.6% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 14.8% | 12.5% | 13.0% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Porter Kavle | 4.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 4.6% |
| John Ped | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 10.8% |
| Hunter Zonnenberg | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 6.2% |
| Aidan Dennis | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 3.5% |
| John Walton | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 11.0% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% |
| William Bedford | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 12.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.