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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.92+3.99vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.19+8.42vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.14+4.57vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin1.60+4.20vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University1.69+4.27vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.77+1.42vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.15+2.50vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17-1.75vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.12-1.31vs Predicted
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10Fordham University1.98-2.16vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.66-1.96vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College1.37-2.20vs Predicted
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13University of Miami1.93-5.25vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College2.38-7.90vs Predicted
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15Brown University1.78-6.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.99Yale University2.9214.5%1st Place
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10.42University of South Florida1.192.9%1st Place
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7.57Boston College2.146.7%1st Place
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8.2University of Wisconsin1.605.9%1st Place
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9.27Roger Williams University1.693.8%1st Place
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7.42University of Rhode Island1.776.6%1st Place
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9.5Tufts University2.154.1%1st Place
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6.25U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.179.9%1st Place
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7.69Harvard University2.126.3%1st Place
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7.84Fordham University1.987.2%1st Place
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9.04Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.664.3%1st Place
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9.8Connecticut College1.373.7%1st Place
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7.75University of Miami1.937.3%1st Place
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6.1Dartmouth College2.3810.2%1st Place
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8.18Brown University1.786.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teddy Nicolosi | 14.5% | 14.0% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Humberto Porrata | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 12.5% | 21.3% |
| Robert Hunter | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 2.9% |
| Jonathan Bailey | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% |
| John Walton | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 10.5% |
| Parker Colantuono | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.9% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 11.7% |
| Daniel Unangst | 9.9% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.2% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 3.8% |
| Porter Kavle | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.6% |
| John Ped | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 9.4% |
| William Bedford | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 14.6% |
| Aidan Dennis | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 3.8% |
| William Michels | 10.2% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Hunter Zonnenberg | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.