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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston4.05+4.37vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.96+7.38vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.04+6.12vs Predicted
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4Fordham University3.52+3.17vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.90+4.88vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont3.63+0.77vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College2.78+3.14vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida3.49-0.45vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-0.07vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.64-3.43vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University3.20-2.57vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.07+1.00vs Predicted
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13Stanford University3.72-6.78vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University3.39-6.26vs Predicted
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15Cornell University1.71-1.37vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin2.73-5.89vs Predicted
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17University of Virginia-0.04+0.15vs Predicted
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18Washington College1.63-3.97vs Predicted
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19University of Michigan-2.46-0.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.37College of Charleston4.050.1%1st Place
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9.38Harvard University2.960.0%1st Place
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9.12Tufts University3.040.1%1st Place
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7.17Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
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9.88U. S. Naval Academy2.900.0%1st Place
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6.77University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
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10.14Eckerd College2.780.0%1st Place
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7.55University of South Florida3.490.1%1st Place
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8.93St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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6.57Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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8.43Old Dominion University3.200.1%1st Place
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13.0Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.070.0%1st Place
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6.22Stanford University3.720.1%1st Place
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7.74Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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13.63Cornell University1.710.0%1st Place
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10.11University of Wisconsin2.730.0%1st Place
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17.15University of Virginia-0.040.0%1st Place
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14.03Washington College1.630.0%1st Place
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18.81University of Michigan-2.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Enrique Arathoon | 12.8% | 12.8% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Juan Perdomo | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Alp Rodopman | 5.2% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Will Holz | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Philip Youngberg | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 3.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 9.7% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Robert Savoie | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Stocke | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Wallace | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Adams | 9.3% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel LOCHNER | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sean Burke | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 14.0% | 16.3% | 16.4% | 4.8% | 0.1% |
| Oliver Toole | 10.1% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Greg Martinez | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Birmingham | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 14.2% | 23.6% | 9.9% | 0.6% |
| Matthew Ripkey | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Baez | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 5.0% | 10.8% | 64.8% | 8.3% |
| Alexander Smith | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 17.6% | 24.2% | 9.9% | 0.2% |
| Hubbard Velie | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 6.5% | 90.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.