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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.13+2.48vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech0.67+0.37vs Predicted
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3William and Mary-0.27+0.92vs Predicted
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4American University-0.61+0.40vs Predicted
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5Catholic University of America-1.85+1.17vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland-0.08-2.21vs Predicted
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7Penn State University-1.01-1.71vs Predicted
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8University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.43-1.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.48U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.1315.9%1st Place
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2.37Virginia Tech0.6736.8%1st Place
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3.92William and Mary-0.2712.4%1st Place
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4.4American University-0.618.9%1st Place
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6.17Catholic University of America-1.853.4%1st Place
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3.79University of Maryland-0.0813.8%1st Place
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5.29Penn State University-1.015.9%1st Place
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6.57University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.432.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Finora | 15.9% | 18.8% | 17.3% | 18.4% | 14.4% | 10.2% | 3.9% | 1.1% |
| James Lilyquist | 36.8% | 24.0% | 18.2% | 11.1% | 6.6% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Meredith Endres | 12.4% | 15.3% | 15.6% | 17.1% | 16.0% | 13.2% | 8.0% | 2.5% |
| Brooke Lorson | 8.9% | 12.2% | 12.7% | 15.8% | 17.5% | 16.8% | 11.4% | 4.7% |
| John Anthony Caraig | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 15.6% | 24.7% | 31.9% |
| Jared Cohen | 13.8% | 15.3% | 18.0% | 16.1% | 16.1% | 11.7% | 7.1% | 2.1% |
| Nathan Mascia | 5.9% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 13.9% | 18.4% | 21.7% | 13.8% |
| John TIS | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 11.6% | 22.8% | 44.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.