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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.60+7.47vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.12+5.95vs Predicted
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3Fordham University1.98+5.18vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.92+1.16vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.38+1.17vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17+0.29vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.14+0.66vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.77-0.39vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.66+0.20vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University1.69-0.67vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College1.95-3.52vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.15-2.43vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida1.19-2.48vs Predicted
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14University of Miami1.93-6.14vs Predicted
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15Brown University1.78-6.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.47University of Wisconsin1.606.2%1st Place
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7.95Harvard University2.126.2%1st Place
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8.18Fordham University1.985.9%1st Place
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5.16Yale University2.9215.2%1st Place
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6.17Dartmouth College2.389.2%1st Place
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6.29U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.1710.6%1st Place
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7.66Boston College2.146.3%1st Place
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7.61University of Rhode Island1.776.5%1st Place
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9.2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.664.1%1st Place
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9.33Roger Williams University1.694.2%1st Place
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7.48Connecticut College1.958.0%1st Place
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9.57Tufts University2.153.5%1st Place
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10.52University of South Florida1.193.5%1st Place
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7.86University of Miami1.936.0%1st Place
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8.59Brown University1.784.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Bailey | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.0% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.0% |
| Porter Kavle | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 15.2% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| William Michels | 9.2% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| Daniel Unangst | 10.6% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Robert Hunter | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% |
| Parker Colantuono | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.6% |
| John Ped | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 11.1% |
| John Walton | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 11.8% |
| Walter Henry | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 2.9% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 13.2% |
| Humberto Porrata | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 12.6% | 22.2% |
| Aidan Dennis | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 4.2% |
| Hunter Zonnenberg | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 6.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.