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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.64+5.60vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.39+5.55vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+5.92vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.96+5.17vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston4.05+0.40vs Predicted
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6Stanford University3.72+0.26vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont3.63-0.39vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.90+1.66vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.07+3.28vs Predicted
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10Cornell University1.71+3.56vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University3.20-2.79vs Predicted
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12Fordham University3.52-4.73vs Predicted
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13Tufts University3.04-4.32vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College2.78-3.97vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin2.73-5.04vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-6.01vs Predicted
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17Washington College1.63-3.21vs Predicted
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18University of Virginia-0.04-0.73vs Predicted
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19University of Michigan-2.46-0.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.6Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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7.55Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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8.92St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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9.17Harvard University2.960.0%1st Place
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5.4College of Charleston4.050.1%1st Place
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6.26Stanford University3.720.1%1st Place
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6.61University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
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9.66U. S. Naval Academy2.900.0%1st Place
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12.28Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.070.0%1st Place
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13.56Cornell University1.710.0%1st Place
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8.21Old Dominion University3.200.1%1st Place
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7.27Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
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8.68Tufts University3.040.1%1st Place
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10.03Eckerd College2.780.0%1st Place
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9.96University of Wisconsin2.730.0%1st Place
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9.99Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.0%1st Place
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13.79Washington College1.630.0%1st Place
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17.27University of Virginia-0.040.0%1st Place
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18.79University of Michigan-2.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Adams | 8.3% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Greg Martinez | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Wallace | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Juan Perdomo | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Enrique Arathoon | 11.2% | 13.7% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Toole | 12.0% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Philip Youngberg | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Sean Burke | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 12.2% | 14.1% | 13.1% | 5.4% | 0.1% |
| Daniel Birmingham | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 10.6% | 16.4% | 22.9% | 7.0% | 0.3% |
| Daniel LOCHNER | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Will Holz | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alp Rodopman | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Robert Savoie | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 4.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Ripkey | 4.5% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 4.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Paggi | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Smith | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 14.1% | 25.4% | 11.3% | 0.2% |
| Nicholas Baez | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 11.5% | 64.9% | 9.4% |
| Hubbard Velie | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 7.1% | 90.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.