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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.92+4.25vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.38+4.36vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.19+7.47vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.69+5.52vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17+1.22vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.12+1.72vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.15+2.50vs Predicted
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8Brown University1.78+0.45vs Predicted
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9Fordham University1.98-0.73vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island1.77-2.49vs Predicted
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11University of Miami1.93-3.08vs Predicted
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12University of Wisconsin1.60-3.63vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College1.95-5.37vs Predicted
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14Boston College2.14-6.39vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.66-5.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.25Yale University2.9213.2%1st Place
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6.36Dartmouth College2.3810.2%1st Place
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10.47University of South Florida1.193.4%1st Place
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9.52Roger Williams University1.694.2%1st Place
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6.22U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.1710.2%1st Place
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7.72Harvard University2.127.4%1st Place
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9.5Tufts University2.154.3%1st Place
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8.45Brown University1.786.0%1st Place
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8.27Fordham University1.985.1%1st Place
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7.51University of Rhode Island1.777.0%1st Place
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7.92University of Miami1.936.2%1st Place
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8.37University of Wisconsin1.605.7%1st Place
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7.63Connecticut College1.956.5%1st Place
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7.61Boston College2.146.0%1st Place
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9.22Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.664.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teddy Nicolosi | 13.2% | 13.7% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| William Michels | 10.2% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Humberto Porrata | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 12.0% | 22.0% |
| John Walton | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 11.6% |
| Daniel Unangst | 10.2% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.4% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.0% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 13.6% |
| Hunter Zonnenberg | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 6.3% |
| Porter Kavle | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 5.1% |
| Parker Colantuono | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% |
| Aidan Dennis | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.8% |
| Jonathan Bailey | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% |
| Walter Henry | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 3.9% |
| Robert Hunter | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 2.8% |
| John Ped | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 12.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.