← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University3.64+5.82vs Predicted
-
2Georgetown University3.39+5.79vs Predicted
-
3Tufts University3.04+6.17vs Predicted
-
4University of South Florida3.49+3.34vs Predicted
-
5University of Vermont3.63+2.00vs Predicted
-
6College of Charleston4.05-0.67vs Predicted
-
7Stanford University3.72-0.50vs Predicted
-
8U. S. Naval Academy2.90+1.84vs Predicted
-
9St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-0.18vs Predicted
-
10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+0.24vs Predicted
-
11Fordham University3.52-3.84vs Predicted
-
12Old Dominion University3.20-3.30vs Predicted
-
13Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.07-0.52vs Predicted
-
14Washington College1.63+0.15vs Predicted
-
15Cornell University1.71-1.36vs Predicted
-
16Eckerd College2.78-5.98vs Predicted
-
17University of Virginia-0.04+0.12vs Predicted
-
18University of Michigan-2.46+0.86vs Predicted
-
19Harvard University2.96-9.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.82Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
-
7.79Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
-
9.17Tufts University3.040.0%1st Place
-
7.34University of South Florida3.490.1%1st Place
-
7.0University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
-
5.33College of Charleston4.050.2%1st Place
-
6.5Stanford University3.720.1%1st Place
-
9.84U. S. Naval Academy2.900.0%1st Place
-
8.82St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
-
10.24Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.0%1st Place
-
7.16Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
-
8.7Old Dominion University3.200.0%1st Place
-
12.48Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.070.0%1st Place
-
14.15Washington College1.630.0%1st Place
-
13.64Cornell University1.710.0%1st Place
-
10.02Eckerd College2.780.0%1st Place
-
17.12University of Virginia-0.040.0%1st Place
-
18.86University of Michigan-2.460.0%1st Place
-
9.01Harvard University2.960.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Adams | 7.6% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Greg Martinez | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alp Rodopman | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Stocke | 6.8% | 9.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 7.4% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Enrique Arathoon | 15.9% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Toole | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Philip Youngberg | 4.6% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| John Wallace | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Paggi | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 8.2% | 3.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Will Holz | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel LOCHNER | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sean Burke | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 13.1% | 16.0% | 13.1% | 4.1% | 0.1% |
| Alexander Smith | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 16.4% | 27.7% | 9.8% | 0.5% |
| Daniel Birmingham | 1.4% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 13.0% | 25.9% | 10.0% | 0.1% |
| Robert Savoie | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 3.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Baez | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 5.1% | 11.0% | 66.4% | 6.4% |
| Hubbard Velie | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 5.8% | 92.6% |
| Juan Perdomo | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.