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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.92+4.03vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.15+7.63vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.78+5.21vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.14+3.69vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.12+2.71vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University1.69+3.48vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.77+0.58vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College1.95-0.37vs Predicted
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9University of Miami1.93-1.04vs Predicted
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10Fordham University1.98-1.76vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.38-4.86vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida1.19-1.34vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.66-3.96vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin1.60-5.43vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17-8.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.03Yale University2.9213.9%1st Place
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9.63Tufts University2.153.7%1st Place
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8.21Brown University1.786.0%1st Place
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7.69Boston College2.146.5%1st Place
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7.71Harvard University2.126.6%1st Place
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9.48Roger Williams University1.693.8%1st Place
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7.58University of Rhode Island1.776.0%1st Place
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7.63Connecticut College1.956.7%1st Place
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7.96University of Miami1.936.1%1st Place
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8.24Fordham University1.985.9%1st Place
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6.14Dartmouth College2.3810.8%1st Place
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10.66University of South Florida1.193.4%1st Place
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9.04Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.664.5%1st Place
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8.57University of Wisconsin1.606.3%1st Place
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6.43U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.179.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teddy Nicolosi | 13.9% | 13.4% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 13.2% |
| Hunter Zonnenberg | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% |
| Robert Hunter | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.9% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.1% |
| John Walton | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 12.7% |
| Parker Colantuono | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.0% |
| Walter Henry | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% |
| Aidan Dennis | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.0% |
| Porter Kavle | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.9% |
| William Michels | 10.8% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% |
| Humberto Porrata | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 11.3% | 14.1% | 21.7% |
| John Ped | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 10.2% |
| Jonathan Bailey | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 6.8% |
| Daniel Unangst | 9.6% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.