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📊 Prediction Accuracy
13.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17+5.46vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.15+7.61vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.77+4.62vs Predicted
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4University of Miami1.93+3.80vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.98+3.11vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.66+3.25vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.38-0.71vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College1.95-0.50vs Predicted
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9Yale University2.92-3.82vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.14-2.21vs Predicted
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11Brown University1.78-2.75vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.12-4.28vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin1.60-4.54vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida1.19-3.44vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University1.69-5.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.46U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.179.8%1st Place
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9.61Tufts University2.154.1%1st Place
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7.62University of Rhode Island1.776.7%1st Place
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7.8University of Miami1.937.1%1st Place
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8.11Fordham University1.985.8%1st Place
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9.25Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.664.1%1st Place
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6.29Dartmouth College2.389.9%1st Place
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7.5Connecticut College1.956.9%1st Place
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5.18Yale University2.9213.9%1st Place
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7.79Boston College2.146.1%1st Place
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8.25Brown University1.785.9%1st Place
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7.72Harvard University2.126.4%1st Place
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8.46University of Wisconsin1.605.3%1st Place
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10.56University of South Florida1.193.0%1st Place
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9.39Roger Williams University1.695.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Unangst | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 13.8% |
| Parker Colantuono | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 3.7% |
| Aidan Dennis | 7.1% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.8% |
| Porter Kavle | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.2% |
| John Ped | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 10.8% |
| William Michels | 9.9% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| Walter Henry | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.7% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 13.9% | 12.9% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Robert Hunter | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 3.8% |
| Hunter Zonnenberg | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.0% |
| Jonathan Bailey | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 6.7% |
| Humberto Porrata | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 10.7% | 12.3% | 22.2% |
| John Walton | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 11.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.