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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.39+7.03vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College2.78+8.52vs Predicted
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3Fordham University3.52+4.59vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.72+2.72vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University3.20+4.07vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida3.49+1.56vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston4.05-1.49vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.90+2.25vs Predicted
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9University of Wisconsin2.73+1.54vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.64-3.10vs Predicted
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11Tufts University3.04-1.56vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont3.63-4.75vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.96-3.45vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.07-0.65vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-5.68vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-5.40vs Predicted
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17Cornell University1.71-2.72vs Predicted
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18Washington College1.63-3.36vs Predicted
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19University of Michigan-2.46-0.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.03Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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10.52Eckerd College2.780.0%1st Place
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7.59Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
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6.72Stanford University3.720.1%1st Place
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9.07Old Dominion University3.200.0%1st Place
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7.56University of South Florida3.490.1%1st Place
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5.51College of Charleston4.050.1%1st Place
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10.25U. S. Naval Academy2.900.0%1st Place
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10.54University of Wisconsin2.730.0%1st Place
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6.9Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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9.44Tufts University3.040.0%1st Place
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7.25University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
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9.55Harvard University2.960.0%1st Place
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13.35Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.070.0%1st Place
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9.32St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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10.6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.0%1st Place
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14.28Cornell University1.710.0%1st Place
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14.64Washington College1.630.0%1st Place
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18.88University of Michigan-2.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greg Martinez | 5.2% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Robert Savoie | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 2.7% | 0.1% |
| Will Holz | 8.0% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Toole | 10.1% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Daniel LOCHNER | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Stocke | 8.7% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Enrique Arathoon | 12.5% | 12.1% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Philip Youngberg | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 2.8% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Ripkey | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 0.2% |
| Lucas Adams | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Alp Rodopman | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Juan Perdomo | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Sean Burke | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 15.5% | 17.4% | 0.4% |
| John Wallace | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Paggi | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Birmingham | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 17.2% | 28.6% | 0.8% |
| Alexander Smith | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 17.7% | 29.5% | 1.2% |
| Hubbard Velie | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 97.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.